Proponents of the California Billionaire Tax Act submitted 1.55 million signatures in late April 2026 for the proposed one-time 5% net-worth levy on roughly 200 state billionaires, well above the 875,000 threshold needed for the November 2026 ballot. Signature verification must conclude by the June 25 deadline, creating the immediate focal point for trader assessments. Recent developments include an emerging opposition coalition of healthcare and education organizations, alongside negotiations involving Gov. Gavin Newsom, that aim to block qualification through legal or procedural means. These factors have introduced uncertainty around final certification despite the strong signature haul, aligning with the current 57% implied probability for placement on the ballot.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$247,103 ปริมาณ
$247,103 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
$247,103 ปริมาณ
$247,103 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Proponents of the California Billionaire Tax Act submitted 1.55 million signatures in late April 2026 for the proposed one-time 5% net-worth levy on roughly 200 state billionaires, well above the 875,000 threshold needed for the November 2026 ballot. Signature verification must conclude by the June 25 deadline, creating the immediate focal point for trader assessments. Recent developments include an emerging opposition coalition of healthcare and education organizations, alongside negotiations involving Gov. Gavin Newsom, that aim to block qualification through legal or procedural means. These factors have introduced uncertainty around final certification despite the strong signature haul, aligning with the current 57% implied probability for placement on the ballot.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$247,103วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Proponents of the California Billionaire Tax Act submitted 1.55 million signatures in late April 2026 for the proposed one-time 5% net-worth levy on roughly 200 state billionaires, well above the 875,000 threshold needed for the November 2026 ballot. Signature verification must conclude by the June 25 deadline, creating the immediate focal point for trader assessments. Recent developments include an emerging opposition coalition of healthcare and education organizations, alongside negotiations involving Gov. Gavin Newsom, that aim to block qualification through legal or procedural means. These factors have introduced uncertainty around final certification despite the strong signature haul, aligning with the current 57% implied probability for placement on the ballot.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$247,103วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Proponents of the California Billionaire Tax Act submitted 1.55 million signatures in late April 2026 for the proposed one-time 5% net-worth levy on roughly 200 state billionaires, well above the 875,000 threshold needed for the November 2026 ballot. Signature verification must conclude by the June 25 deadline, creating the immediate focal point for trader assessments. Recent developments include an emerging opposition coalition of healthcare and education organizations, alongside negotiations involving Gov. Gavin Newsom, that aim to block qualification through legal or procedural means. These factors have introduced uncertainty around final certification despite the strong signature haul, aligning with the current 57% implied probability for placement on the ballot.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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