Trader consensus assigns claude-opus-4-6-thinking a 100% implied probability of being the top AI model on the LMArena Chatbot Arena Text Overall leaderboard (style control off) as of April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, driven by its dominant Elo score from crowd-sourced battles emphasizing substantive reasoning over stylistic flair in math, coding, and creative tasks. Anthropic's February release of Claude Opus 4.6 Thinking propelled it to #1 with scores like 1502-1546, outpacing rivals through superior long-context handling and instruction-following. Yesterday's Claude Opus 4.7 launch bolsters Anthropic's edge long-term but awaits voter integration on the leaderboard. Realistic challenges include a pre-resolution vote surge for Opus 4.7 or competitors like Gemini 3.1 Pro, though traders see negligible risk given current positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วclaude-opus-4-6-thinking 100.0%
claude-opus-4-6 <1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview <1%
gemini-3-flash <1%
$80,973 ปริมาณ
$80,973 ปริมาณ
Apr 17, 2026
claude-opus-4-6
No
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
No
gemini-3-flash
No
dola-seed-2.0-preview
No
kimi-k2.5-thinking
No
muse-spark
No
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
Yes
qwen3.5-max-preview
No
gemini-3-pro
No
gemini-2.5-pro
No
grok-4.20-beta1
No
gpt-5.4-high
No
glm-5.1
No
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 100.0%
claude-opus-4-6 <1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview <1%
gemini-3-flash <1%
$80,973 ปริมาณ
$80,973 ปริมาณ
Apr 17, 2026
claude-opus-4-6
$7,349 ปริมาณ
No
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
$4,731 ปริมาณ
No
gemini-3-flash
$1,626 ปริมาณ
No
dola-seed-2.0-preview
$1,104 ปริมาณ
No
kimi-k2.5-thinking
$610 ปริมาณ
No
muse-spark
$6,106 ปริมาณ
No
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$49,774 ปริมาณ
Yes
qwen3.5-max-preview
$964 ปริมาณ
No
gemini-3-pro
$3,454 ปริมาณ
No
gemini-2.5-pro
$649 ปริมาณ
No
grok-4.20-beta1
$1,974 ปริมาณ
No
gpt-5.4-high
$1,148 ปริมาณ
No
glm-5.1
$1,483 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus assigns claude-opus-4-6-thinking a 100% implied probability of being the top AI model on the LMArena Chatbot Arena Text Overall leaderboard (style control off) as of April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, driven by its dominant Elo score from crowd-sourced battles emphasizing substantive reasoning over stylistic flair in math, coding, and creative tasks. Anthropic's February release of Claude Opus 4.6 Thinking propelled it to #1 with scores like 1502-1546, outpacing rivals through superior long-context handling and instruction-following. Yesterday's Claude Opus 4.7 launch bolsters Anthropic's edge long-term but awaits voter integration on the leaderboard. Realistic challenges include a pre-resolution vote surge for Opus 4.7 or competitors like Gemini 3.1 Pro, though traders see negligible risk given current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 9, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,973วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 9, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus assigns claude-opus-4-6-thinking a 100% implied probability of being the top AI model on the LMArena Chatbot Arena Text Overall leaderboard (style control off) as of April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, driven by its dominant Elo score from crowd-sourced battles emphasizing substantive reasoning over stylistic flair in math, coding, and creative tasks. Anthropic's February release of Claude Opus 4.6 Thinking propelled it to #1 with scores like 1502-1546, outpacing rivals through superior long-context handling and instruction-following. Yesterday's Claude Opus 4.7 launch bolsters Anthropic's edge long-term but awaits voter integration on the leaderboard. Realistic challenges include a pre-resolution vote surge for Opus 4.7 or competitors like Gemini 3.1 Pro, though traders see negligible risk given current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,973วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 9, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus assigns claude-opus-4-6-thinking a 100% implied probability of being the top AI model on the LMArena Chatbot Arena Text Overall leaderboard (style control off) as of April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, driven by its dominant Elo score from crowd-sourced battles emphasizing substantive reasoning over stylistic flair in math, coding, and creative tasks. Anthropic's February release of Claude Opus 4.6 Thinking propelled it to #1 with scores like 1502-1546, outpacing rivals through superior long-context handling and instruction-following. Yesterday's Claude Opus 4.7 launch bolsters Anthropic's edge long-term but awaits voter integration on the leaderboard. Realistic challenges include a pre-resolution vote surge for Opus 4.7 or competitors like Gemini 3.1 Pro, though traders see negligible risk given current positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย