The Bank of England’s September 17 Monetary Policy Committee decision is priced for a hold at the current 3.75% Bank Rate, reflecting the majority’s assessment that restrictive policy and a loosening labor market—with unemployment near 5%—are sufficient to contain risks from elevated energy prices. Surging oil costs tied to Middle East developments have lifted near-term CPI projections toward 3.2%, yet limited evidence of second-round wage or price effects has kept the MPC split at a likely 6-3 vote, consistent with the July outcome. Hawkish members continue to flag upside inflation risks, while markets now embed a higher probability of a November hike. A stronger-than-expected August inflation print or clear signs of broadening pay pressures could shift the balance and challenge the prevailing consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of England decision in September?
No change 91.7%
25 bps increase 7.6%
25 bps decrease <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$288,420 ปริมาณ
$288,420 ปริมาณ
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
92%
25 bps increase
8%
50+ bps increase
<1%
No change 91.7%
25 bps increase 7.6%
25 bps decrease <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$288,420 ปริมาณ
$288,420 ปริมาณ
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
92%
25 bps increase
8%
50+ bps increase
<1%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England’s September 17 Monetary Policy Committee decision is priced for a hold at the current 3.75% Bank Rate, reflecting the majority’s assessment that restrictive policy and a loosening labor market—with unemployment near 5%—are sufficient to contain risks from elevated energy prices. Surging oil costs tied to Middle East developments have lifted near-term CPI projections toward 3.2%, yet limited evidence of second-round wage or price effects has kept the MPC split at a likely 6-3 vote, consistent with the July outcome. Hawkish members continue to flag upside inflation risks, while markets now embed a higher probability of a November hike. A stronger-than-expected August inflation print or clear signs of broadening pay pressures could shift the balance and challenge the prevailing consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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