Resurgent energy prices from renewed Middle East tensions have pushed UK inflation expectations higher, with August CPI at 2.9% and forecasts pointing to a near-term peak near 3.9% in early 2027, prompting analysts at Goldman Sachs and others to shift toward pricing a 25-basis-point Bank of England hike at the November 5 meeting. Resilient July GDP growth of 0.4% has reduced downside risks to activity, narrowing the gap between no-change and hike probabilities in trader sentiment. The MPC’s 6-3 hold decision in July, with three members favoring a quarter-point rise to 4%, underscores the divided outlook, while the September 17 meeting is widely expected to maintain the 3.75% Bank Rate pending fresh CPI data. Market-implied paths now embed roughly 47 basis points of tightening by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over the duration of the energy shock and second-round effects.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of England decision in November?
Bank of England decision in November?
No change 51%
25 bps increase 49%
50+ bps increase <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$76,716 ปริมาณ
$76,716 ปริมาณ
Nov 5, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
51%
25 bps increase
49%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 51%
25 bps increase 49%
50+ bps increase <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$76,716 ปริมาณ
$76,716 ปริมาณ
Nov 5, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$6,099 ปริมาณ
<1%
25 bps decrease
$5,854 ปริมาณ
<1%
No change
$28,444 ปริมาณ
51%
25 bps increase
$28,658 ปริมาณ
49%
50+ bps increase
$7,661 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Resurgent energy prices from renewed Middle East tensions have pushed UK inflation expectations higher, with August CPI at 2.9% and forecasts pointing to a near-term peak near 3.9% in early 2027, prompting analysts at Goldman Sachs and others to shift toward pricing a 25-basis-point Bank of England hike at the November 5 meeting. Resilient July GDP growth of 0.4% has reduced downside risks to activity, narrowing the gap between no-change and hike probabilities in trader sentiment. The MPC’s 6-3 hold decision in July, with three members favoring a quarter-point rise to 4%, underscores the divided outlook, while the September 17 meeting is widely expected to maintain the 3.75% Bank Rate pending fresh CPI data. Market-implied paths now embed roughly 47 basis points of tightening by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over the duration of the energy shock and second-round effects.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$76,716วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Resurgent energy prices from renewed Middle East tensions have pushed UK inflation expectations higher, with August CPI at 2.9% and forecasts pointing to a near-term peak near 3.9% in early 2027, prompting analysts at Goldman Sachs and others to shift toward pricing a 25-basis-point Bank of England hike at the November 5 meeting. Resilient July GDP growth of 0.4% has reduced downside risks to activity, narrowing the gap between no-change and hike probabilities in trader sentiment. The MPC’s 6-3 hold decision in July, with three members favoring a quarter-point rise to 4%, underscores the divided outlook, while the September 17 meeting is widely expected to maintain the 3.75% Bank Rate pending fresh CPI data. Market-implied paths now embed roughly 47 basis points of tightening by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over the duration of the energy shock and second-round effects.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$76,716วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Resurgent energy prices from renewed Middle East tensions have pushed UK inflation expectations higher, with August CPI at 2.9% and forecasts pointing to a near-term peak near 3.9% in early 2027, prompting analysts at Goldman Sachs and others to shift toward pricing a 25-basis-point Bank of England hike at the November 5 meeting. Resilient July GDP growth of 0.4% has reduced downside risks to activity, narrowing the gap between no-change and hike probabilities in trader sentiment. The MPC’s 6-3 hold decision in July, with three members favoring a quarter-point rise to 4%, underscores the divided outlook, while the September 17 meeting is widely expected to maintain the 3.75% Bank Rate pending fresh CPI data. Market-implied paths now embed roughly 47 basis points of tightening by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over the duration of the energy shock and second-round effects.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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