A fresh Genial/Quaest poll released April 29 reveals a technical tie in the Bahia governor race, with ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 41% and incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) at 38% in first-round scenarios, mirroring trader consensus pricing the top contenders neck-and-neck ahead of the October 4 vote and potential October 25 runoff. Rodrigues holds steady with 56% government approval and backing from over 350 mayors, bolstering his path in this PT stronghold, while Neto's edge in prior surveys like Veritá (April 7) stems from anti-incumbent momentum in Salvador and interior polls. The race stays tight amid 12-20% undecideds; separation could arise from campaign gaffes, federal endorsements, or shifting economic indicators in coming months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBahia Governor Election Winner
Bahia Governor Election Winner
ACM Neto 38%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 28%
José Carlos Aleluia 6.6%
Kleber Rosa 4.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
ACM Neto
38%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
37%
José Carlos Aleluia
7%
Kleber Rosa
5%
Rui Costa
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
ACM Neto 38%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 28%
José Carlos Aleluia 6.6%
Kleber Rosa 4.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
ACM Neto
$1,256 ปริมาณ
38%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$609 ปริมาณ
37%
José Carlos Aleluia
$1,218 ปริมาณ
7%
Kleber Rosa
$617 ปริมาณ
5%
Rui Costa
$488 ปริมาณ
<1%
João Roma
$324 ปริมาณ
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$324 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).A fresh Genial/Quaest poll released April 29 reveals a technical tie in the Bahia governor race, with ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 41% and incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) at 38% in first-round scenarios, mirroring trader consensus pricing the top contenders neck-and-neck ahead of the October 4 vote and potential October 25 runoff. Rodrigues holds steady with 56% government approval and backing from over 350 mayors, bolstering his path in this PT stronghold, while Neto's edge in prior surveys like Veritá (April 7) stems from anti-incumbent momentum in Salvador and interior polls. The race stays tight amid 12-20% undecideds; separation could arise from campaign gaffes, federal endorsements, or shifting economic indicators in coming months.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,837วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).A fresh Genial/Quaest poll released April 29 reveals a technical tie in the Bahia governor race, with ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 41% and incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) at 38% in first-round scenarios, mirroring trader consensus pricing the top contenders neck-and-neck ahead of the October 4 vote and potential October 25 runoff. Rodrigues holds steady with 56% government approval and backing from over 350 mayors, bolstering his path in this PT stronghold, while Neto's edge in prior surveys like Veritá (April 7) stems from anti-incumbent momentum in Salvador and interior polls. The race stays tight amid 12-20% undecideds; separation could arise from campaign gaffes, federal endorsements, or shifting economic indicators in coming months.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,837วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A fresh Genial/Quaest poll released April 29 reveals a technical tie in the Bahia governor race, with ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 41% and incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) at 38% in first-round scenarios, mirroring trader consensus pricing the top contenders neck-and-neck ahead of the October 4 vote and potential October 25 runoff. Rodrigues holds steady with 56% government approval and backing from over 350 mayors, bolstering his path in this PT stronghold, while Neto's edge in prior surveys like Veritá (April 7) stems from anti-incumbent momentum in Salvador and interior polls. The race stays tight amid 12-20% undecideds; separation could arise from campaign gaffes, federal endorsements, or shifting economic indicators in coming months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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