Recent polling shows ACM Neto and incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues locked in a technical tie or narrow contest for the October 4 first-round vote, with high shares of undecided or persuadable voters keeping separation limited. Neto’s edge in some surveys stems from stronger name recognition as former Salvador mayor and União Brasil positioning, while Jerônimo benefits from incumbency, reported approval near 55 percent, and PT alignment with federal resources. Minor candidates remain marginal, and Senate dynamics involving Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner may influence turnout. Upcoming debates and interior campaigning in the final month could consolidate preferences or shift momentum before any runoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBahia Governor Election Winner
Bahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo Rodrigues 51%
ACM Neto 50%
João Roma <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$139,028 ปริมาณ
$139,028 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
51%
ACM Neto
50%
João Roma
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 51%
ACM Neto 50%
João Roma <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$139,028 ปริมาณ
$139,028 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$44,905 ปริมาณ
51%
ACM Neto
$51,999 ปริมาณ
50%
João Roma
$5,186 ปริมาณ
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 ปริมาณ
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 ปริมาณ
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows ACM Neto and incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues locked in a technical tie or narrow contest for the October 4 first-round vote, with high shares of undecided or persuadable voters keeping separation limited. Neto’s edge in some surveys stems from stronger name recognition as former Salvador mayor and União Brasil positioning, while Jerônimo benefits from incumbency, reported approval near 55 percent, and PT alignment with federal resources. Minor candidates remain marginal, and Senate dynamics involving Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner may influence turnout. Upcoming debates and interior campaigning in the final month could consolidate preferences or shift momentum before any runoff.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$139,028วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows ACM Neto and incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues locked in a technical tie or narrow contest for the October 4 first-round vote, with high shares of undecided or persuadable voters keeping separation limited. Neto’s edge in some surveys stems from stronger name recognition as former Salvador mayor and União Brasil positioning, while Jerônimo benefits from incumbency, reported approval near 55 percent, and PT alignment with federal resources. Minor candidates remain marginal, and Senate dynamics involving Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner may influence turnout. Upcoming debates and interior campaigning in the final month could consolidate preferences or shift momentum before any runoff.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$139,028วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows ACM Neto and incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues locked in a technical tie or narrow contest for the October 4 first-round vote, with high shares of undecided or persuadable voters keeping separation limited. Neto’s edge in some surveys stems from stronger name recognition as former Salvador mayor and União Brasil positioning, while Jerônimo benefits from incumbency, reported approval near 55 percent, and PT alignment with federal resources. Minor candidates remain marginal, and Senate dynamics involving Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner may influence turnout. Upcoming debates and interior campaigning in the final month could consolidate preferences or shift momentum before any runoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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