The rematch between incumbent PT Governor Jerônimo Rodrigues and União Brasil challenger ACM Neto remains closely contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing technical ties or narrow margins in both rounds and approval ratings for Rodrigues holding steady in the mid-50s to low-60s. National coalition shifts, including União's break from the Lula administration and ACM Neto's alignment with the right-wing bloc, have reshaped voter alignments and kept the race polarized without a decisive edge for either side. Undecided voters, turnout in key regions, and ongoing alliance negotiations continue to influence momentum, sustaining trader consensus around even odds while leaving room for separation from future polling shifts or campaign developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBahia Governor Election Winner
Bahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo Rodrigues 50%
ACM Neto 47%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$20,728 ปริมาณ
$20,728 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
50%
ACM Neto
47%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 50%
ACM Neto 47%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$20,728 ปริมาณ
$20,728 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$5,269 ปริมาณ
50%
ACM Neto
$5,147 ปริมาณ
47%
José Carlos Aleluia
$3,197 ปริมาณ
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$2,040 ปริมาณ
<1%
João Roma
$1,608 ปริมาณ
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$1,702 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rui Costa
$1,766 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The rematch between incumbent PT Governor Jerônimo Rodrigues and União Brasil challenger ACM Neto remains closely contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing technical ties or narrow margins in both rounds and approval ratings for Rodrigues holding steady in the mid-50s to low-60s. National coalition shifts, including União's break from the Lula administration and ACM Neto's alignment with the right-wing bloc, have reshaped voter alignments and kept the race polarized without a decisive edge for either side. Undecided voters, turnout in key regions, and ongoing alliance negotiations continue to influence momentum, sustaining trader consensus around even odds while leaving room for separation from future polling shifts or campaign developments.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,728วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The rematch between incumbent PT Governor Jerônimo Rodrigues and União Brasil challenger ACM Neto remains closely contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing technical ties or narrow margins in both rounds and approval ratings for Rodrigues holding steady in the mid-50s to low-60s. National coalition shifts, including União's break from the Lula administration and ACM Neto's alignment with the right-wing bloc, have reshaped voter alignments and kept the race polarized without a decisive edge for either side. Undecided voters, turnout in key regions, and ongoing alliance negotiations continue to influence momentum, sustaining trader consensus around even odds while leaving room for separation from future polling shifts or campaign developments.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,728วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The rematch between incumbent PT Governor Jerônimo Rodrigues and União Brasil challenger ACM Neto remains closely contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing technical ties or narrow margins in both rounds and approval ratings for Rodrigues holding steady in the mid-50s to low-60s. National coalition shifts, including União's break from the Lula administration and ACM Neto's alignment with the right-wing bloc, have reshaped voter alignments and kept the race polarized without a decisive edge for either side. Undecided voters, turnout in key regions, and ongoing alliance negotiations continue to influence momentum, sustaining trader consensus around even odds while leaving room for separation from future polling shifts or campaign developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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