Arizona's 9th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 30-point-plus margin in the prior cycle. Incumbent Paul Gosar seeks renomination in the July 21 Republican primary against limited opposition, with forecasters rating the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. No significant shifts in polling, candidate dynamics, or district conditions have emerged in recent months to alter this baseline. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could still shift if an unexpected primary challenge gains traction or late-cycle national conditions produce unusual turnout patterns in this rural and western Maricopa County district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAZ-09 House Election Winner
AZ-09 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,873 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$2,657 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 9th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 30-point-plus margin in the prior cycle. Incumbent Paul Gosar seeks renomination in the July 21 Republican primary against limited opposition, with forecasters rating the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. No significant shifts in polling, candidate dynamics, or district conditions have emerged in recent months to alter this baseline. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could still shift if an unexpected primary challenge gains traction or late-cycle national conditions produce unusual turnout patterns in this rural and western Maricopa County district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,530วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 9th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 30-point-plus margin in the prior cycle. Incumbent Paul Gosar seeks renomination in the July 21 Republican primary against limited opposition, with forecasters rating the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. No significant shifts in polling, candidate dynamics, or district conditions have emerged in recent months to alter this baseline. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could still shift if an unexpected primary challenge gains traction or late-cycle national conditions produce unusual turnout patterns in this rural and western Maricopa County district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,530วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 9th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 30-point-plus margin in the prior cycle. Incumbent Paul Gosar seeks renomination in the July 21 Republican primary against limited opposition, with forecasters rating the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. No significant shifts in polling, candidate dynamics, or district conditions have emerged in recent months to alter this baseline. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could still shift if an unexpected primary challenge gains traction or late-cycle national conditions produce unusual turnout patterns in this rural and western Maricopa County district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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