The Republican Party holds an 78.5% implied probability in the AZ-08 House election due to the district’s established Republican lean in northern and western Phoenix suburbs, where the incumbent Abraham Hamadeh secured 56.5% of the vote in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid R or Safe R, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles and limited Democratic inroads. The July 2026 Republican primary features Hamadeh against limited opposition, while the Democratic primary draws multiple candidates without a clear frontrunner. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus centers on structural advantages including incumbency, fundraising, and voter registration patterns that have historically favored Republicans by double-digit margins in comparable contests.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAZ-08 House Election Winner
AZ-08 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,779 ปริมาณ
79%
Democratic Party
$2,416 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds an 78.5% implied probability in the AZ-08 House election due to the district’s established Republican lean in northern and western Phoenix suburbs, where the incumbent Abraham Hamadeh secured 56.5% of the vote in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid R or Safe R, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles and limited Democratic inroads. The July 2026 Republican primary features Hamadeh against limited opposition, while the Democratic primary draws multiple candidates without a clear frontrunner. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus centers on structural advantages including incumbency, fundraising, and voter registration patterns that have historically favored Republicans by double-digit margins in comparable contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,195วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds an 78.5% implied probability in the AZ-08 House election due to the district’s established Republican lean in northern and western Phoenix suburbs, where the incumbent Abraham Hamadeh secured 56.5% of the vote in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid R or Safe R, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles and limited Democratic inroads. The July 2026 Republican primary features Hamadeh against limited opposition, while the Democratic primary draws multiple candidates without a clear frontrunner. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus centers on structural advantages including incumbency, fundraising, and voter registration patterns that have historically favored Republicans by double-digit margins in comparable contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,195วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds an 78.5% implied probability in the AZ-08 House election due to the district’s established Republican lean in northern and western Phoenix suburbs, where the incumbent Abraham Hamadeh secured 56.5% of the vote in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid R or Safe R, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles and limited Democratic inroads. The July 2026 Republican primary features Hamadeh against limited opposition, while the Democratic primary draws multiple candidates without a clear frontrunner. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus centers on structural advantages including incumbency, fundraising, and voter registration patterns that have historically favored Republicans by double-digit margins in comparable contests.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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