Incumbent Sen. Tom Cotton's dominant 82% win in the March 3 Republican primary, facing minimal challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory in Arkansas's deeply Republican Senate race against Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner, a sixth-generation farmer. The state's consistent GOP stronghold—bolstered by incumbency advantage and sparse early polling like GrayHouse's recent 58-36 Cotton lead—drives this positioning, with no major developments in the past 30 days altering the landscape. While barriers to an upset remain high, late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a massive Democratic midterm wave could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArkansas Senate Election Winner
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
94%
Democrat
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$6,723 ปริมาณ
94%
Democrat
$1,771 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tom Cotton's dominant 82% win in the March 3 Republican primary, facing minimal challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory in Arkansas's deeply Republican Senate race against Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner, a sixth-generation farmer. The state's consistent GOP stronghold—bolstered by incumbency advantage and sparse early polling like GrayHouse's recent 58-36 Cotton lead—drives this positioning, with no major developments in the past 30 days altering the landscape. While barriers to an upset remain high, late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a massive Democratic midterm wave could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,494วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tom Cotton's dominant 82% win in the March 3 Republican primary, facing minimal challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory in Arkansas's deeply Republican Senate race against Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner, a sixth-generation farmer. The state's consistent GOP stronghold—bolstered by incumbency advantage and sparse early polling like GrayHouse's recent 58-36 Cotton lead—drives this positioning, with no major developments in the past 30 days altering the landscape. While barriers to an upset remain high, late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a massive Democratic midterm wave could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,494วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Tom Cotton's dominant 82% win in the March 3 Republican primary, facing minimal challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory in Arkansas's deeply Republican Senate race against Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner, a sixth-generation farmer. The state's consistent GOP stronghold—bolstered by incumbency advantage and sparse early polling like GrayHouse's recent 58-36 Cotton lead—drives this positioning, with no major developments in the past 30 days altering the landscape. While barriers to an upset remain high, late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a massive Democratic midterm wave could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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