Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner advanced as her party's nominee. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, including Cotton's prior large margins, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome in the November general election. The state's partisan composition and limited competitive history for this seat limit realistic paths for the Democratic nominee absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant national political realignments, or late-campaign disruptions within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArkansas Senate Election Winner
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
$10,932 ปริมาณ
$10,932 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
93%
Democrat
3%
$10,932 ปริมาณ
$10,932 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$8,044 ปริมาณ
93%
Democrat
$2,888 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner advanced as her party's nominee. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, including Cotton's prior large margins, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome in the November general election. The state's partisan composition and limited competitive history for this seat limit realistic paths for the Democratic nominee absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant national political realignments, or late-campaign disruptions within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,932วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner advanced as her party's nominee. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, including Cotton's prior large margins, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome in the November general election. The state's partisan composition and limited competitive history for this seat limit realistic paths for the Democratic nominee absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant national political realignments, or late-campaign disruptions within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,932วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner advanced as her party's nominee. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, including Cotton's prior large margins, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome in the November general election. The state's partisan composition and limited competitive history for this seat limit realistic paths for the Democratic nominee absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant national political realignments, or late-campaign disruptions within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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