The strong Republican lean of Arkansas's 1st congressional district, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+23, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5%. Incumbent Rick Crawford, who secured 72.9% in 2024, faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 2026 general election after both advanced unopposed in March primaries. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns in this rural, northeast Arkansas area. A commanding lead could shift only through major unforeseen events such as candidate health developments, significant scandals, or broader national political realignments that alter turnout or enthusiasm in this heavily partisan district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$18,772 ปริมาณ
$18,772 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$18,772 ปริมาณ
$18,772 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,175 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$7,596 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Arkansas's 1st congressional district, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+23, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5%. Incumbent Rick Crawford, who secured 72.9% in 2024, faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 2026 general election after both advanced unopposed in March primaries. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns in this rural, northeast Arkansas area. A commanding lead could shift only through major unforeseen events such as candidate health developments, significant scandals, or broader national political realignments that alter turnout or enthusiasm in this heavily partisan district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,772วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Arkansas's 1st congressional district, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+23, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5%. Incumbent Rick Crawford, who secured 72.9% in 2024, faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 2026 general election after both advanced unopposed in March primaries. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns in this rural, northeast Arkansas area. A commanding lead could shift only through major unforeseen events such as candidate health developments, significant scandals, or broader national political realignments that alter turnout or enthusiasm in this heavily partisan district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,772วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican lean of Arkansas's 1st congressional district, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+23, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5%. Incumbent Rick Crawford, who secured 72.9% in 2024, faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 2026 general election after both advanced unopposed in March primaries. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns in this rural, northeast Arkansas area. A commanding lead could shift only through major unforeseen events such as candidate health developments, significant scandals, or broader national political realignments that alter turnout or enthusiasm in this heavily partisan district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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