Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, who advanced unopposed after his March primary was canceled, holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+23 partisan voting index reflecting consistent GOP dominance. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party stems from Crawford's strong reelection history, including a 73% win in the prior general election, and the lack of a competitive Democratic challenger in Terri Yarbrough Green, who also faced no primary opposition. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. While barriers to an upset remain high, scenarios like a major Crawford scandal, health issue, or national Democratic surge could narrow the gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$15,516 ปริมาณ
$15,516 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$15,516 ปริมาณ
$15,516 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,091 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$4,425 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, who advanced unopposed after his March primary was canceled, holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+23 partisan voting index reflecting consistent GOP dominance. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party stems from Crawford's strong reelection history, including a 73% win in the prior general election, and the lack of a competitive Democratic challenger in Terri Yarbrough Green, who also faced no primary opposition. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. While barriers to an upset remain high, scenarios like a major Crawford scandal, health issue, or national Democratic surge could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,516วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, who advanced unopposed after his March primary was canceled, holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+23 partisan voting index reflecting consistent GOP dominance. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party stems from Crawford's strong reelection history, including a 73% win in the prior general election, and the lack of a competitive Democratic challenger in Terri Yarbrough Green, who also faced no primary opposition. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. While barriers to an upset remain high, scenarios like a major Crawford scandal, health issue, or national Democratic surge could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,516วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, who advanced unopposed after his March primary was canceled, holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+23 partisan voting index reflecting consistent GOP dominance. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party stems from Crawford's strong reelection history, including a 73% win in the prior general election, and the lack of a competitive Democratic challenger in Terri Yarbrough Green, who also faced no primary opposition. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. While barriers to an upset remain high, scenarios like a major Crawford scandal, health issue, or national Democratic surge could narrow the gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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