Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's unopposed Republican primary on March 3—canceled due to no challengers—has reinforced trader consensus implying 93% odds for a GOP win in Arkansas's 1st Congressional District general election on November 3. The district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index, 18th most Republican nationally, aligns with Crawford's 70%+ margins in recent cycles, earning Solid Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green also advanced uncontested with minimal fundraising, highlighting weak opposition. A commanding position persists absent a major Crawford scandal, self-funded Democratic surge, or national midterm wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$15,455 ปริมาณ
$15,455 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$15,455 ปริมาณ
$15,455 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,066 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$4,389 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's unopposed Republican primary on March 3—canceled due to no challengers—has reinforced trader consensus implying 93% odds for a GOP win in Arkansas's 1st Congressional District general election on November 3. The district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index, 18th most Republican nationally, aligns with Crawford's 70%+ margins in recent cycles, earning Solid Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green also advanced uncontested with minimal fundraising, highlighting weak opposition. A commanding position persists absent a major Crawford scandal, self-funded Democratic surge, or national midterm wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,455วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's unopposed Republican primary on March 3—canceled due to no challengers—has reinforced trader consensus implying 93% odds for a GOP win in Arkansas's 1st Congressional District general election on November 3. The district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index, 18th most Republican nationally, aligns with Crawford's 70%+ margins in recent cycles, earning Solid Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green also advanced uncontested with minimal fundraising, highlighting weak opposition. A commanding position persists absent a major Crawford scandal, self-funded Democratic surge, or national midterm wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,455วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's unopposed Republican primary on March 3—canceled due to no challengers—has reinforced trader consensus implying 93% odds for a GOP win in Arkansas's 1st Congressional District general election on November 3. The district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index, 18th most Republican nationally, aligns with Crawford's 70%+ margins in recent cycles, earning Solid Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green also advanced uncontested with minimal fundraising, highlighting weak opposition. A commanding position persists absent a major Crawford scandal, self-funded Democratic surge, or national midterm wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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