Amazon’s current market capitalization near $2.78 trillion reflects recent Q2 2026 results showing AWS revenue surging 37% year-over-year to a $169 billion annualized run rate, driven by generative AI workloads and custom silicon demand exceeding $25 billion run rates each. This momentum, paired with a $496 billion backlog and advertising growth, supports trader consensus around the $2.50–3.00 trillion bracket at 35% implied probability. Elevated 2026 capex guidance of $220 billion, however, pressures free cash flow and creates competitive tension with the $3.00–3.50 trillion range at 26%, as markets weigh AI infrastructure returns against retail margins and broader equity volatility through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$2.50-$3.00T 35%
$3.00-$3.50T 26%
$2.00-$2.50T 20%
$3.50-$4.00T 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.00T
6%
$2.00-$2.50T
20%
$2.50-$3.00T
35%
$3.00-$3.50T
26%
$3.50-$4.00T
11%
$4.00-$4.50T
5%
$4.50T+
6%
$2.50-$3.00T 35%
$3.00-$3.50T 26%
$2.00-$2.50T 20%
$3.50-$4.00T 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.00T
$263 ปริมาณ
6%
$2.00-$2.50T
$363 ปริมาณ
20%
$2.50-$3.00T
$752 ปริมาณ
35%
$3.00-$3.50T
$195 ปริมาณ
26%
$3.50-$4.00T
$255 ปริมาณ
11%
$4.00-$4.50T
$179 ปริมาณ
5%
$4.50T+
$259 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon’s current market capitalization near $2.78 trillion reflects recent Q2 2026 results showing AWS revenue surging 37% year-over-year to a $169 billion annualized run rate, driven by generative AI workloads and custom silicon demand exceeding $25 billion run rates each. This momentum, paired with a $496 billion backlog and advertising growth, supports trader consensus around the $2.50–3.00 trillion bracket at 35% implied probability. Elevated 2026 capex guidance of $220 billion, however, pressures free cash flow and creates competitive tension with the $3.00–3.50 trillion range at 26%, as markets weigh AI infrastructure returns against retail margins and broader equity volatility through year-end.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,267วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon’s current market capitalization near $2.78 trillion reflects recent Q2 2026 results showing AWS revenue surging 37% year-over-year to a $169 billion annualized run rate, driven by generative AI workloads and custom silicon demand exceeding $25 billion run rates each. This momentum, paired with a $496 billion backlog and advertising growth, supports trader consensus around the $2.50–3.00 trillion bracket at 35% implied probability. Elevated 2026 capex guidance of $220 billion, however, pressures free cash flow and creates competitive tension with the $3.00–3.50 trillion range at 26%, as markets weigh AI infrastructure returns against retail margins and broader equity volatility through year-end.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,267วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Amazon’s current market capitalization near $2.78 trillion reflects recent Q2 2026 results showing AWS revenue surging 37% year-over-year to a $169 billion annualized run rate, driven by generative AI workloads and custom silicon demand exceeding $25 billion run rates each. This momentum, paired with a $496 billion backlog and advertising growth, supports trader consensus around the $2.50–3.00 trillion bracket at 35% implied probability. Elevated 2026 capex guidance of $220 billion, however, pressures free cash flow and creates competitive tension with the $3.00–3.50 trillion range at 26%, as markets weigh AI infrastructure returns against retail margins and broader equity volatility through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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