Recent state legislative momentum, including New York's early June approval of a one-year AI data center moratorium and similar pauses in multiple localities, has driven near-unanimous trader consensus on this Polymarket outcome. Backlash over surging energy demands, infrastructure strain, and environmental impacts has fueled a wave of regulatory pushback, echoing historical patterns of tech-sector oversight. The March federal Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act from Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez amplified visibility, while over 100 proposed measures nationwide reinforce the frontrunner narrative. A realistic upset would require coordinated congressional blocks or widespread vetoes derailing qualifying state-level bills before year-end, though current trajectory makes that unlikely.