Guinea-Bissau’s commanding early form has driven trader consensus toward them as the likeliest team to secure Group L’s available AFCON 2027 spot. The Djurtus opened with a 2-0 win over co-host Tanzania followed by a 3-0 upset of Nigeria, building a six-point lead and +5 goal difference after two matchdays. Nigeria sits second on three points after that heavy loss and an earlier 2-1 win over Madagascar, while Madagascar and Tanzania each hold one point from draws. Upcoming November fixtures pit Guinea-Bissau against Madagascar in a doubleheader, giving the leaders a clear path to extend their advantage before the March window. Tanzania’s automatic qualification as co-host leaves only one additional berth for the remaining sides.