Peggy Flanagan holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the August 11 Democratic primary to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith, driven by her recent DFL endorsement victory, consistent polling advantages, and backing from figures including Smith and Sen. Elizabeth Warren. Flanagan’s progressive positioning on issues such as campaign finance has consolidated support within the party base. Angie Craig trails but remains competitive through her congressional record, fundraising, and appeal to moderates in a swing district, supported by some outside spending. Late polls show Flanagan ahead by double digits among likely primary voters, though the race has featured attack ads and procedural disputes over party processes. Other listed candidates register negligible support in available data.