Recent model releases have intensified competition for #3 positioning among frontier AI labs, with Anthropic's early-September launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 delivering top scores on coding and agent benchmarks like Terminal-Bench, followed closely by OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini 3.8 Flash. These updates highlight rapid gains in agentic research capabilities, cybersecurity features, and cost-efficient performance, compressing the gap between leaders and challengers. Trader sentiment reflects this parity among Meta, Google, and OpenAI, tempered by Chinese labs' open-weight progress and pricing pressure, while upcoming earnings, developer conferences, and benchmark updates through October could shift the market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMeta 25%
Google 22%
OpenAI 19.4%
Mistral 5.7%
$39,906 ปริมาณ
$39,906 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
Meta
25%
22%
OpenAI
19%
Mistral
6%
Alibaba
6%
Moonshot
5%
Z.ai
5%
Baidu
4%
Anthropic
4%
SpaceXAI
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Xiaomi
1%
ByteDance
1%
Microsoft
1%
MiniMax
1%
Thinky
1%
Meituan
1%
Amazon
1%
Nvidia
1%
Tencent
1%
StepFun
<1%
Meta 25%
Google 22%
OpenAI 19.4%
Mistral 5.7%
$39,906 ปริมาณ
$39,906 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
Meta
$6,225 ปริมาณ
25%
$17,530 ปริมาณ
22%
OpenAI
$4,364 ปริมาณ
19%
Mistral
$399 ปริมาณ
6%
Alibaba
$5,007 ปริมาณ
6%
Moonshot
$469 ปริมาณ
5%
Z.ai
$332 ปริมาณ
5%
Baidu
$315 ปริมาณ
4%
Anthropic
$453 ปริมาณ
4%
SpaceXAI
$304 ปริมาณ
3%
DeepSeek
$294 ปริมาณ
1%
Xiaomi
$502 ปริมาณ
1%
ByteDance
$509 ปริมาณ
1%
Microsoft
$360 ปริมาณ
1%
MiniMax
$395 ปริมาณ
1%
Thinky
$380 ปริมาณ
1%
Meituan
$546 ปริมาณ
1%
Amazon
$393 ปริมาณ
1%
Nvidia
$375 ปริมาณ
1%
Tencent
$380 ปริมาณ
1%
StepFun
$375 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases have intensified competition for #3 positioning among frontier AI labs, with Anthropic's early-September launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 delivering top scores on coding and agent benchmarks like Terminal-Bench, followed closely by OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini 3.8 Flash. These updates highlight rapid gains in agentic research capabilities, cybersecurity features, and cost-efficient performance, compressing the gap between leaders and challengers. Trader sentiment reflects this parity among Meta, Google, and OpenAI, tempered by Chinese labs' open-weight progress and pricing pressure, while upcoming earnings, developer conferences, and benchmark updates through October could shift the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,906วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases have intensified competition for #3 positioning among frontier AI labs, with Anthropic's early-September launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 delivering top scores on coding and agent benchmarks like Terminal-Bench, followed closely by OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini 3.8 Flash. These updates highlight rapid gains in agentic research capabilities, cybersecurity features, and cost-efficient performance, compressing the gap between leaders and challengers. Trader sentiment reflects this parity among Meta, Google, and OpenAI, tempered by Chinese labs' open-weight progress and pricing pressure, while upcoming earnings, developer conferences, and benchmark updates through October could shift the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,906วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model releases have intensified competition for #3 positioning among frontier AI labs, with Anthropic's early-September launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 delivering top scores on coding and agent benchmarks like Terminal-Bench, followed closely by OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini 3.8 Flash. These updates highlight rapid gains in agentic research capabilities, cybersecurity features, and cost-efficient performance, compressing the gap between leaders and challengers. Trader sentiment reflects this parity among Meta, Google, and OpenAI, tempered by Chinese labs' open-weight progress and pricing pressure, while upcoming earnings, developer conferences, and benchmark updates through October could shift the market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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