Éric Zemmour’s explicit confirmation in mid-September 2026 on BFMTV that he intends to run for president in 2027 under the Reconquête banner has anchored trader pricing, with the party founder positioned as the clear frontrunner at 79 percent implied probability. Knafo, the party’s vice-president and Zemmour’s partner, gained media attention earlier that month with a bestselling book on public finances and her visible role at Reconquête’s summer events, yet she has repeatedly described Zemmour as the movement’s “natural candidate.” Zemmour has since reinforced his leadership by hardening rhetoric around remigration and immigration controls ahead of the formal announcement expected before December. These developments, against Reconquête’s limited national polling support, have consolidated market consensus around Zemmour retaining the nomination.