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results for federal interest rate decisions
Fed Decision in October?
$43M Vol.
$2M today
$4M Liq.
Ends in 13 days
87%
No change
Fed Decision in January?
$507K Vol.
$573K Liq.
Ends in 3 months
59%
Fed Decision in December?
$4M Vol.
$741K Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
79%
25 bps increase
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$369K Vol.
$209K Liq.
69%
Hike–Pause–Hike
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$7M Vol.
$474K Liq.
5
64%
4.25%
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$2M Vol.
$393K Liq.
13
82%
↑ 4.25%
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
$23.2K Vol.
$168K Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
25%
4.5%
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$49.2K Vol.
$33.1K Liq.
55%
Pause-Hike-Pause
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$162K Vol.
$2.7K Liq.
97%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$245K Vol.
$14.4K Liq.
4%
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
$843K Vol.
$61.7K today
$67.8K Liq.
78%
Fed rate cut by...?
$208K Liq.
31
Ends in over 1 year
51%
July 2027 Meeting
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$29.9K Vol.
$47.0K Liq.
40%
0
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
$21.7K Vol.
$61.7K Liq.
56%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$54M Vol.
$78.8K today
124
0 (0 bps)
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
$23.6K Vol.
$59.3K Liq.
1
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
$1M Vol.
$250K Liq.
68%
2 (50 bps)
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
$41.4K Vol.
$22.5K Liq.
52%
No Change
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
$58.2K Vol.
$28.1K Liq.
Ends in 21 days
77%
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
$10.3K Vol.
$9.1K Liq.
71%