Antonio Trocoli enters as the clear trader favorite at implied probabilities around 75% due to his perfect 12-0 record and dominant DWCS contract-winning performance, showcasing sharp striking and grappling control against a more experienced but 15-5 Mantas Kondratavicius. Both middleweights made weight cleanly at Friday's UFC Fight Night 244 weigh-ins in Las Vegas with no reported injuries or lineup changes, preserving the status quo. Kondratavicius brings higher fight volume and resilience from Contender Series bouts, but Trocoli's youth, finishing rate (92%), and momentum from recent knockouts fuel the market lean. Apex environment favors technical wrestlers, adding upset potential if Kondratavicius pressures early.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Unanimous Decision
$2.89K Vol.
This market will resolve to "Antonio Trocoli" if Antonio Trocoli is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026.
It will resolve to "Mantas Kondratavicius" if Mantas Kondratavicius is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Antonio Trocoli defeats Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mantas Kondratavicius defeats Antonio Trocoli at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Antonio Trocoli enters as the clear trader favorite at implied probabilities around 75% due to his perfect 12-0 record and dominant DWCS contract-winning performance, showcasing sharp striking and grappling control against a more experienced but 15-5 Mantas Kondratavicius. Both middleweights made weight cleanly at Friday's UFC Fight Night 244 weigh-ins in Las Vegas with no reported injuries or lineup changes, preserving the status quo. Kondratavicius brings higher fight volume and resilience from Contender Series bouts, but Trocoli's youth, finishing rate (92%), and momentum from recent knockouts fuel the market lean. Apex environment favors technical wrestlers, adding upset potential if Kondratavicius pressures early.
This market will resolve to "Antonio Trocoli" if Antonio Trocoli is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026.
It will resolve to "Mantas Kondratavicius" if Mantas Kondratavicius is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Mantas Kondratavicius" if Mantas Kondratavicius is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Открытие рынка: Mar 5, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Объем
$2,892Дата окончания
22 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:12 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91... Unanimous Decision
$2.89K Vol.
This market will resolve to "Antonio Trocoli" if Antonio Trocoli is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026.
It will resolve to "Mantas Kondratavicius" if Mantas Kondratavicius is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Antonio Trocoli defeats Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mantas Kondratavicius defeats Antonio Trocoli at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Antonio Trocoli enters as the clear trader favorite at implied probabilities around 75% due to his perfect 12-0 record and dominant DWCS contract-winning performance, showcasing sharp striking and grappling control against a more experienced but 15-5 Mantas Kondratavicius. Both middleweights made weight cleanly at Friday's UFC Fight Night 244 weigh-ins in Las Vegas with no reported injuries or lineup changes, preserving the status quo. Kondratavicius brings higher fight volume and resilience from Contender Series bouts, but Trocoli's youth, finishing rate (92%), and momentum from recent knockouts fuel the market lean. Apex environment favors technical wrestlers, adding upset potential if Kondratavicius pressures early.
This market will resolve to "Antonio Trocoli" if Antonio Trocoli is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026.
It will resolve to "Mantas Kondratavicius" if Mantas Kondratavicius is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Mantas Kondratavicius" if Mantas Kondratavicius is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Открытие рынка: Mar 5, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Объем
$2,892Дата окончания
22 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:12 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...Antonio Trocoli enters as the clear trader favorite at implied probabilities around 75% due to his perfect 12-0 record and dominant DWCS contract-winning performance, showcasing sharp striking and grappling control against a more experienced but 15-5 Mantas Kondratavicius. Both middleweights made weight cleanly at Friday's UFC Fight Night 244 weigh-ins in Las Vegas with no reported injuries or lineup changes, preserving the status quo. Kondratavicius brings higher fight volume and resilience from Contender Series bouts, but Trocoli's youth, finishing rate (92%), and momentum from recent knockouts fuel the market lean. Apex environment favors technical wrestlers, adding upset potential if Kondratavicius pressures early.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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