The Round 4 matchup in the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open between Grandmasters Matthias Bluebaum (2698) and R Praggnanandhaa (2741) ended in a draw, cementing trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability on that outcome as the official FIDE result. Bluebaum, with White, played 1.d4 into Praggnanandhaa's solid Semi-Slav Defense, where precise opening preparation and balanced middlegame play from both—despite Bluebaum's prior classical head-to-head edge—led to a draw agreement after equal chances emerged. Entering on 1.5 points each, they now share 2/4, behind sole leader Javokhir Sindarov (3.5). With score sheets signed and arbiter confirmation, no realistic challenges like appeals or corrections exist in elite classical chess.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Открытие рынка: Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Открытие рынка: Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Round 4 matchup in the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open between Grandmasters Matthias Bluebaum (2698) and R Praggnanandhaa (2741) ended in a draw, cementing trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability on that outcome as the official FIDE result. Bluebaum, with White, played 1.d4 into Praggnanandhaa's solid Semi-Slav Defense, where precise opening preparation and balanced middlegame play from both—despite Bluebaum's prior classical head-to-head edge—led to a draw agreement after equal chances emerged. Entering on 1.5 points each, they now share 2/4, behind sole leader Javokhir Sindarov (3.5). With score sheets signed and arbiter confirmation, no realistic challenges like appeals or corrections exist in elite classical chess.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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