Climate & Science predictions & odds

·
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

Climate & Science

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

79%

1T+

$1m Объем

$54.5k today

$130k Liq.

30

Ends in almost 2 years

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Climate & Science

SpaceX

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

28%

$STAR

$1m Объем

$52.1k today

$46.9k Liq.

92

Ends in almost 2 years

Measles cases in U.S. by January 31?

Climate & Science

Science

Measles cases in U.S. by January 31?

100%

175

$174k Объем

$57.8k Liq.

Ends in 8 days

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Climate & Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

36%

5-6

$53.8k Объем

$4.4k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 25?

Climate & Science

Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 25?

73%

0

$126k Объем

$13.9k Liq.

Ends in 2 days

How many inches of snow in NYC this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

Climate & Science

Science

How many inches of snow in NYC this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

34%

8-10

$31.2k Объем

$15.6k Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Climate & Science

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

82%

>$1T

$235k Объем

$48.4k Liq.

2

Ends in almost 2 years

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Climate & Science

Science

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

48%

1.05–1.09ºC

$401k Объем

$37.6k Liq.

Ends in 18 days

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Climate & Science

SpaceX

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

$36.2k Объем

$27.8k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

How many inches of snow in Washington D.C. this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

Climate & Science

Science

How many inches of snow in Washington D.C. this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

48%

15+

$7.7k Объем

$10.8k Liq.

2

Ends in 3 days

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Climate & Science

Science

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

98%

4th or lower

$316k Объем

$52.0k Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Climate & Science

Science

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

44%

4

$1m Объем

$47.3k Liq.

14

Ends in 11 months

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Climate & Science

Science

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

89%

March 31

$97.7k Объем

$9.0k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Climate & Science

Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

39%

11–13

$350k Объем

$29.0k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Climate & Science

SpaceX

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

57%

Morgan Stanley

$280k Объем

$34.4k Liq.

3

Ends in almost 2 years

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Climate & Science

Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

63%

8+

$791k Объем

$27.9k Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

Human moon landing in 2026?

Climate & Science

Science

Human moon landing in 2026?

6%

$23.8k Объем

$23.1k Liq.

11

Ends in 11 months

How many Tornadoes in the US in January?

Climate & Science

Science

How many Tornadoes in the US in January?

94%

<30

$486k Объем

$13.5k Liq.

Ends in 18 days

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Climate & Science

SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

51%

$136k Объем

$14.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?

Climate & Science

Politics

US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?

9%

$10.8k Объем

$5.8k Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months