David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11 primary through a narrow upset victory, capturing 39.8% of the vote to Francesca Hong's 39.3% after trailing significantly in earlier polling. Key drivers included Governor Tony Evers' endorsement following Crowley's reentry into the race, strong turnout and support in the Milwaukee area, and negative press surrounding Hong's past social media activity. Other candidates' withdrawals consolidated moderate support behind the Milwaukee County executive. While official certification appears imminent, potential challenges could arise from recounts or disputes over write-in ballots, though historical precedent shows such reversals remain rare in Wisconsin primaries with clear margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКроули побеждает 98.7%
Хонг 30%+ <1%
Хонг 25–30% <1%
Хонг 20–25% <1%
$218,035 Объем
$218,035 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
Хонг 30%+
Нет
Хонг 25–30%
Нет
Хонг 20–25%
Нет
Хонг 15–20%
Нет
Хон 10–15%
Нет
Хонг 5–10%
Нет
Хонг <5%
Нет
Кроули побеждает
Да
Барнс побеждает
Нет
Кроули побеждает 98.7%
Хонг 30%+ <1%
Хонг 25–30% <1%
Хонг 20–25% <1%
$218,035 Объем
$218,035 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
Хонг 30%+
$80,404 Объем
Нет
Хонг 25–30%
$43,716 Объем
Нет
Хонг 20–25%
$8,559 Объем
Нет
Хонг 15–20%
$4,911 Объем
Нет
Хон 10–15%
$8,562 Объем
Нет
Хонг 5–10%
$31,881 Объем
Нет
Хонг <5%
$18,890 Объем
Нет
Кроули побеждает
$19,209 Объем
Да
Барнс побеждает
$1,903 Объем
Нет
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11 primary through a narrow upset victory, capturing 39.8% of the vote to Francesca Hong's 39.3% after trailing significantly in earlier polling. Key drivers included Governor Tony Evers' endorsement following Crowley's reentry into the race, strong turnout and support in the Milwaukee area, and negative press surrounding Hong's past social media activity. Other candidates' withdrawals consolidated moderate support behind the Milwaukee County executive. While official certification appears imminent, potential challenges could arise from recounts or disputes over write-in ballots, though historical precedent shows such reversals remain rare in Wisconsin primaries with clear margins.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 9:19 PM ET
Объем
$218,035Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 9:19 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11 primary through a narrow upset victory, capturing 39.8% of the vote to Francesca Hong's 39.3% after trailing significantly in earlier polling. Key drivers included Governor Tony Evers' endorsement following Crowley's reentry into the race, strong turnout and support in the Milwaukee area, and negative press surrounding Hong's past social media activity. Other candidates' withdrawals consolidated moderate support behind the Milwaukee County executive. While official certification appears imminent, potential challenges could arise from recounts or disputes over write-in ballots, though historical precedent shows such reversals remain rare in Wisconsin primaries with clear margins.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$218,035Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 9:19 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11 primary through a narrow upset victory, capturing 39.8% of the vote to Francesca Hong's 39.3% after trailing significantly in earlier polling. Key drivers included Governor Tony Evers' endorsement following Crowley's reentry into the race, strong turnout and support in the Milwaukee area, and negative press surrounding Hong's past social media activity. Other candidates' withdrawals consolidated moderate support behind the Milwaukee County executive. While official certification appears imminent, potential challenges could arise from recounts or disputes over write-in ballots, though historical precedent shows such reversals remain rare in Wisconsin primaries with clear margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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