David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary after a dramatic comeback, defeating Francesca Hong by a final certified margin of 0.4 percentage points (39.8% to 39.4%). The outcome followed Crowley’s July withdrawal and re-entry with outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, which consolidated establishment support amid multiple candidate dropouts including Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez. Late polls had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet turnout patterns and late shifts in Milwaukee and suburban areas delivered Crowley’s narrow edge in the closely watched contest. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects the reported results and limited scope for meaningful revision through remaining certification or recount processes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCrowley 0.4–0.6% 100.0%
Hong 1%+ <1%
Hong 0.8–1% <1%
Hong 0.6–0.8% <1%
$221,729 Объем
$221,729 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
Hong 1%+
No
Hong 0.8–1%
No
Hong 0.6–0.8%
No
Hong 0.4–0.6%
No
Hong 0.2–0.4%
No
Hong <0.2%
No
Crowley <0.2%
No
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
No
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
Yes
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
No
Crowley 0.8–1%
No
Crowley 1–1.2%
No
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
No
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
No
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
No
Crowley 1.8–2%
No
Crowley 2%+
No
Crowley 0.4–0.6% 100.0%
Hong 1%+ <1%
Hong 0.8–1% <1%
Hong 0.6–0.8% <1%
$221,729 Объем
$221,729 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
Hong 1%+
$319 Объем
No
Hong 0.8–1%
$232 Объем
No
Hong 0.6–0.8%
$694 Объем
No
Hong 0.4–0.6%
$716 Объем
No
Hong 0.2–0.4%
$749 Объем
No
Hong <0.2%
$1,149 Объем
No
Crowley <0.2%
$38,742 Объем
No
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
$42,044 Объем
No
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
$42,753 Объем
Yes
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
$31,381 Объем
No
Crowley 0.8–1%
$27,577 Объем
No
Crowley 1–1.2%
$30,077 Объем
No
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
$1,194 Объем
No
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
$1,140 Объем
No
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
$1,181 Объем
No
Crowley 1.8–2%
$1,261 Объем
No
Crowley 2%+
$521 Объем
No
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary after a dramatic comeback, defeating Francesca Hong by a final certified margin of 0.4 percentage points (39.8% to 39.4%). The outcome followed Crowley’s July withdrawal and re-entry with outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, which consolidated establishment support amid multiple candidate dropouts including Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez. Late polls had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet turnout patterns and late shifts in Milwaukee and suburban areas delivered Crowley’s narrow edge in the closely watched contest. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects the reported results and limited scope for meaningful revision through remaining certification or recount processes.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Объем
$221,729Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary after a dramatic comeback, defeating Francesca Hong by a final certified margin of 0.4 percentage points (39.8% to 39.4%). The outcome followed Crowley’s July withdrawal and re-entry with outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, which consolidated establishment support amid multiple candidate dropouts including Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez. Late polls had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet turnout patterns and late shifts in Milwaukee and suburban areas delivered Crowley’s narrow edge in the closely watched contest. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects the reported results and limited scope for meaningful revision through remaining certification or recount processes.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$221,729Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary after a dramatic comeback, defeating Francesca Hong by a final certified margin of 0.4 percentage points (39.8% to 39.4%). The outcome followed Crowley’s July withdrawal and re-entry with outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, which consolidated establishment support amid multiple candidate dropouts including Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez. Late polls had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet turnout patterns and late shifts in Milwaukee and suburban areas delivered Crowley’s narrow edge in the closely watched contest. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects the reported results and limited scope for meaningful revision through remaining certification or recount processes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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