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Выборы·Мэр Нью-Йорка

Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?

Market icon
Выборы·Мэр Нью-Йорка

Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$741,782 Объем

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$741,782 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election is greater than 9%. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election is greater than 9%. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Объем
$741,782
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 5:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election is greater than 9%. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election is greater than 9%. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election is greater than 9%. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Объем
$741,782
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 5:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election is greater than 9%. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $741.8K с момента запуска рынка Nov 5, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.