Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a modest implied probability for USD/CAD hitting key levels in 2026, driven primarily by persistent interest rate differentials between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada. With the pair trading near 1.39 amid recent BoC cuts to 3.75% and Fed funds at 4.50-4.75%, forward curves price in further easing—BoC to around 2.5% and Fed to 3% by year-end 2025—supporting moderate USD strength if U.S. growth outpaces Canada's. Oil prices above $70/bbl bolster CAD resilience as an export staple, while upcoming CPI releases, GDP data, and 2025 policy pivots remain pivotal catalysts. Historical precedents from 2022 peaks underscore volatility risks tied to recession odds and trade tensions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено↑1,70
5%
↑1.60
16%
↑1,55
37%
↑1.50
50%
↑1,45
51%
↑1,42
54%
↑1,39
73%
↓1,33
62%
↓1,30
53%
↓1,25
50%
↓1,20
42%
↓1,10
49%
$0.00 Объем
↑1,70
5%
↑1.60
16%
↑1,55
37%
↑1.50
50%
↑1,45
51%
↑1,42
54%
↑1,39
73%
↓1,33
62%
↓1,30
53%
↓1,25
50%
↓1,20
42%
↓1,10
49%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a modest implied probability for USD/CAD hitting key levels in 2026, driven primarily by persistent interest rate differentials between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada. With the pair trading near 1.39 amid recent BoC cuts to 3.75% and Fed funds at 4.50-4.75%, forward curves price in further easing—BoC to around 2.5% and Fed to 3% by year-end 2025—supporting moderate USD strength if U.S. growth outpaces Canada's. Oil prices above $70/bbl bolster CAD resilience as an export staple, while upcoming CPI releases, GDP data, and 2025 policy pivots remain pivotal catalysts. Historical precedents from 2022 peaks underscore volatility risks tied to recession odds and trade tensions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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