President Donald Trump launched Project Freedom on May 4, 2026, as a U.S. naval escort operation to protect commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz following Iranian attacks and blockade. The initiative paused within 48 hours after requests from Pakistan and other nations, alongside reported progress toward a broader U.S.-Iran ceasefire and political agreement. Ongoing bilateral negotiations, including responses to Iranian proposals with associated timelines, remain the dominant factor holding restart probabilities low. Any explicit White House announcement directing U.S. Central Command to resume escorts would resolve related markets, while sustained de-escalation signals or finalized accords could further reduce near-term resumption likelihood.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWill Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
$1,449,856 Объем
June 30
16%
$1,449,856 Объем
June 30
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 22, 2026, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump launched Project Freedom on May 4, 2026, as a U.S. naval escort operation to protect commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz following Iranian attacks and blockade. The initiative paused within 48 hours after requests from Pakistan and other nations, alongside reported progress toward a broader U.S.-Iran ceasefire and political agreement. Ongoing bilateral negotiations, including responses to Iranian proposals with associated timelines, remain the dominant factor holding restart probabilities low. Any explicit White House announcement directing U.S. Central Command to resume escorts would resolve related markets, while sustained de-escalation signals or finalized accords could further reduce near-term resumption likelihood.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы