Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran agreement by year-end. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for nuclear, sanctions, and regional talks leading to such a resolution, collapsed by mid-August amid resumed hostilities, violations of ceasefire terms, closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and revocation of U.S. sanctions waivers. IAEA Board action on September 9 referred Iran to the Council for safeguards non-compliance—the first such referral in two decades—while permanent members remain divided, with Russia and China resisting renewed sanctions mechanisms. These setbacks have left negotiations stalled and the timeline for a comprehensive deal, historically requiring multilateral endorsement similar to Resolution 2231, highly constrained before December 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРезолюция СБ ООН, одобряющая окончательную американо-иранскую сделку до 31 декабря?
Резолюция СБ ООН, одобряющая окончательную американо-иранскую сделку до 31 декабря?
Да
12% вероятность
$241,054 Объем
$241,054 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
12% вероятность
$241,054 Объем
$241,054 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran agreement by year-end. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for nuclear, sanctions, and regional talks leading to such a resolution, collapsed by mid-August amid resumed hostilities, violations of ceasefire terms, closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and revocation of U.S. sanctions waivers. IAEA Board action on September 9 referred Iran to the Council for safeguards non-compliance—the first such referral in two decades—while permanent members remain divided, with Russia and China resisting renewed sanctions mechanisms. These setbacks have left negotiations stalled and the timeline for a comprehensive deal, historically requiring multilateral endorsement similar to Resolution 2231, highly constrained before December 31.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Объем
$241,054Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran agreement by year-end. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for nuclear, sanctions, and regional talks leading to such a resolution, collapsed by mid-August amid resumed hostilities, violations of ceasefire terms, closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and revocation of U.S. sanctions waivers. IAEA Board action on September 9 referred Iran to the Council for safeguards non-compliance—the first such referral in two decades—while permanent members remain divided, with Russia and China resisting renewed sanctions mechanisms. These setbacks have left negotiations stalled and the timeline for a comprehensive deal, historically requiring multilateral endorsement similar to Resolution 2231, highly constrained before December 31.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$241,054Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran agreement by year-end. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for nuclear, sanctions, and regional talks leading to such a resolution, collapsed by mid-August amid resumed hostilities, violations of ceasefire terms, closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and revocation of U.S. sanctions waivers. IAEA Board action on September 9 referred Iran to the Council for safeguards non-compliance—the first such referral in two decades—while permanent members remain divided, with Russia and China resisting renewed sanctions mechanisms. These setbacks have left negotiations stalled and the timeline for a comprehensive deal, historically requiring multilateral endorsement similar to Resolution 2231, highly constrained before December 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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