Recent presentations of the NBA’s “3-2-1” anti-tanking reform to all 30 general managers have shaped trader consensus around a likely rules change before the 2026 draft. Commissioner Adam Silver has repeatedly identified tanking concerns as a top priority after the 2025-26 season produced several non-playoff teams with records that highlighted imbalances in current lottery odds. The proposal expands the field to 16 teams, flattens top-pick probabilities, and introduces a relegation zone that reduces balls for the three worst records while capping how far those clubs can fall. These league-wide discussions, combined with the just-completed May 10 lottery still using the prior format, explain the elevated implied probability that the Board of Governors will approve modifications for future drafts.