Traders assign a 95.8% probability that the 2028 Republican presidential nominee will not be a woman due to the early dominance of male contenders in prediction markets and media speculation. Vice President JD Vance leads with roughly 40-43% implied odds, followed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 23-25%, while other frequently mentioned figures such as Ron DeSantis trail far behind. Nikki Haley, the highest-profile woman from the 2024 cycle, explicitly ruled out another bid in April 2026, removing the most credible female option from consideration. Few other women appear in serious contention lists or receive meaningful market volume. Late shifts remain possible if a prominent female candidate enters and gains traction, frontrunners encounter major setbacks, or voter priorities realign during the primary process.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
4% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 нояб. 2028 г.
Да
4% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 нояб. 2028 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Traders assign a 95.8% probability that the 2028 Republican presidential nominee will not be a woman due to the early dominance of male contenders in prediction markets and media speculation. Vice President JD Vance leads with roughly 40-43% implied odds, followed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 23-25%, while other frequently mentioned figures such as Ron DeSantis trail far behind. Nikki Haley, the highest-profile woman from the 2024 cycle, explicitly ruled out another bid in April 2026, removing the most credible female option from consideration. Few other women appear in serious contention lists or receive meaningful market volume. Late shifts remain possible if a prominent female candidate enters and gains traction, frontrunners encounter major setbacks, or voter priorities realign during the primary process.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Объем
$2,588Дата окончания
7 нояб. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Traders assign a 95.8% probability that the 2028 Republican presidential nominee will not be a woman due to the early dominance of male contenders in prediction markets and media speculation. Vice President JD Vance leads with roughly 40-43% implied odds, followed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 23-25%, while other frequently mentioned figures such as Ron DeSantis trail far behind. Nikki Haley, the highest-profile woman from the 2024 cycle, explicitly ruled out another bid in April 2026, removing the most credible female option from consideration. Few other women appear in serious contention lists or receive meaningful market volume. Late shifts remain possible if a prominent female candidate enters and gains traction, frontrunners encounter major setbacks, or voter priorities realign during the primary process.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$2,588Дата окончания
7 нояб. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 95.8% probability that the 2028 Republican presidential nominee will not be a woman due to the early dominance of male contenders in prediction markets and media speculation. Vice President JD Vance leads with roughly 40-43% implied odds, followed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 23-25%, while other frequently mentioned figures such as Ron DeSantis trail far behind. Nikki Haley, the highest-profile woman from the 2024 cycle, explicitly ruled out another bid in April 2026, removing the most credible female option from consideration. Few other women appear in serious contention lists or receive meaningful market volume. Late shifts remain possible if a prominent female candidate enters and gains traction, frontrunners encounter major setbacks, or voter priorities realign during the primary process.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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