Russian forces have conducted repeated infiltration attempts and assault operations into Mykolaivka, the village east of Sloviansk in Donetsk Oblast, since late July 2026, using small assault groups targeting eastern outskirts and apartment blocks as part of broader efforts to approach the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration. Ukrainian units, including the 81st Airmobile Brigade, have reported repelling several incursions while maintaining defensive positions, though some Russian groups have reached peripheral areas according to milblogger assessments and geolocated footage. Incremental Russian gains in surrounding sectors of Donetsk Oblast, combined with sustained drone and artillery pressure, continue to shape the local front, with terrain features like canals and logistics routes remaining key constraints. No major diplomatic or ceasefire developments have altered the military dynamics in the area as of early September 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРоссия войдет в Николаевку через...?
$188,036 Объем
30 сентября
72%
31 декабря
94%
$188,036 Объем
30 сентября
72%
31 декабря
94%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 8:07 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted repeated infiltration attempts and assault operations into Mykolaivka, the village east of Sloviansk in Donetsk Oblast, since late July 2026, using small assault groups targeting eastern outskirts and apartment blocks as part of broader efforts to approach the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration. Ukrainian units, including the 81st Airmobile Brigade, have reported repelling several incursions while maintaining defensive positions, though some Russian groups have reached peripheral areas according to milblogger assessments and geolocated footage. Incremental Russian gains in surrounding sectors of Donetsk Oblast, combined with sustained drone and artillery pressure, continue to shape the local front, with terrain features like canals and logistics routes remaining key constraints. No major diplomatic or ceasefire developments have altered the military dynamics in the area as of early September 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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