Russian forces have reported incremental advances across multiple sectors of the Ukraine front line in 2026, including claims of establishing control over settlements named Shevchenko in the Kharkiv region in June, Donetsk region in late July, and Zaporizhzhia region in August. These gains stem from sustained artillery, drone, and assault operations by groupings such as Sever and Tsentr, often targeting logistics nodes and defensive positions amid broader Russian pressure in Donbas and northeastern areas. Ukrainian forces have contested many claims while conducting their own long-range strikes on Russian infrastructure. Trader consensus on capture timelines reflects the measured pace of confirmed territorial changes, Ukrainian defensive reinforcements, and any diplomatic or escalation signals that could alter operational momentum before a specified resolution date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРоссия захватит Шевченко...?
Россия захватит Шевченко...?
$56,651 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
31 октября
49%
$56,651 Объем
31 октября
$9,244 Объем
49%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have reported incremental advances across multiple sectors of the Ukraine front line in 2026, including claims of establishing control over settlements named Shevchenko in the Kharkiv region in June, Donetsk region in late July, and Zaporizhzhia region in August. These gains stem from sustained artillery, drone, and assault operations by groupings such as Sever and Tsentr, often targeting logistics nodes and defensive positions amid broader Russian pressure in Donbas and northeastern areas. Ukrainian forces have contested many claims while conducting their own long-range strikes on Russian infrastructure. Trader consensus on capture timelines reflects the measured pace of confirmed territorial changes, Ukrainian defensive reinforcements, and any diplomatic or escalation signals that could alter operational momentum before a specified resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 8:14 PM ET
Объем
$56,651Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 8:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have reported incremental advances across multiple sectors of the Ukraine front line in 2026, including claims of establishing control over settlements named Shevchenko in the Kharkiv region in June, Donetsk region in late July, and Zaporizhzhia region in August. These gains stem from sustained artillery, drone, and assault operations by groupings such as Sever and Tsentr, often targeting logistics nodes and defensive positions amid broader Russian pressure in Donbas and northeastern areas. Ukrainian forces have contested many claims while conducting their own long-range strikes on Russian infrastructure. Trader consensus on capture timelines reflects the measured pace of confirmed territorial changes, Ukrainian defensive reinforcements, and any diplomatic or escalation signals that could alter operational momentum before a specified resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png
Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Объем
$56,651Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 8:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have reported incremental advances across multiple sectors of the Ukraine front line in 2026, including claims of establishing control over settlements named Shevchenko in the Kharkiv region in June, Donetsk region in late July, and Zaporizhzhia region in August. These gains stem from sustained artillery, drone, and assault operations by groupings such as Sever and Tsentr, often targeting logistics nodes and defensive positions amid broader Russian pressure in Donbas and northeastern areas. Ukrainian forces have contested many claims while conducting their own long-range strikes on Russian infrastructure. Trader consensus on capture timelines reflects the measured pace of confirmed territorial changes, Ukrainian defensive reinforcements, and any diplomatic or escalation signals that could alter operational momentum before a specified resolution date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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