Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by...?
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by...?
$219,559 Объем
Sep 30, 2025
September 30
No
October 31
No
November 30
Yes
$219,559 Объем
September 30
$65,247 Объем
No
October 31
$58,256 Объем
No
November 30
$96,057 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Tsentralna Volytsia x Sorokina Volytsia in Ivanopillya, Donetsk Oblast province, by September 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Ivanopillya+intersection+zoom.png
Intersection Location in Ivanopillya: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Ivanopillya+intersection.png
Ivanopillya Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Ivanopillya.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/YVWkSLgVvzz2PCZ16
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Tsentralna Volytsia x Sorokina Volytsia in Ivanopillya, Donetsk Oblast province, by September 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Ivanopillya+intersection+zoom.png
Intersection Location in Ivanopillya: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Ivanopillya+intersection.png
Ivanopillya Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Ivanopillya.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/YVWkSLgVvzz2PCZ16
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Ivanopillya+intersection+zoom.png
Intersection Location in Ivanopillya: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Ivanopillya+intersection.png
Ivanopillya Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Ivanopillya.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/YVWkSLgVvzz2PCZ16
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Дата создания: Aug 5, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
Объем
$219,559Дата окончания
Nov 30, 2025Дата создания
Aug 5, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No

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