Olivia Rodrigo's official announcement of her third studio album, *You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love*, set for June 12 release via Geffen Records, has driven the near-certain 98.3% market-implied probability for a drop by August 31, reflecting trader consensus on her consistent release cadence—*Sour* in 2021, *GUTS* in 2023—and promotional rollout including cover art reveals and pre-save links just yesterday. This follows months of teasers, from cryptic Instagram posts in January to "sad love songs" hints in British Vogue last month, building unshakeable momentum. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim, such as unforeseen production delays or personal withdrawals, but with presales live and summer tour buzz, traders see negligible risk of slippage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWill Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?
Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?
$11,932 Объем
$11,932 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
$11,932 Объем
$11,932 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Olivia Rodrigo's official announcement of her third studio album, *You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love*, set for June 12 release via Geffen Records, has driven the near-certain 98.3% market-implied probability for a drop by August 31, reflecting trader consensus on her consistent release cadence—*Sour* in 2021, *GUTS* in 2023—and promotional rollout including cover art reveals and pre-save links just yesterday. This follows months of teasers, from cryptic Instagram posts in January to "sad love songs" hints in British Vogue last month, building unshakeable momentum. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim, such as unforeseen production delays or personal withdrawals, but with presales live and summer tour buzz, traders see negligible risk of slippage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Объем
$11,932Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 18, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Olivia Rodrigo's official announcement of her third studio album, *You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love*, set for June 12 release via Geffen Records, has driven the near-certain 98.3% market-implied probability for a drop by August 31, reflecting trader consensus on her consistent release cadence—*Sour* in 2021, *GUTS* in 2023—and promotional rollout including cover art reveals and pre-save links just yesterday. This follows months of teasers, from cryptic Instagram posts in January to "sad love songs" hints in British Vogue last month, building unshakeable momentum. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim, such as unforeseen production delays or personal withdrawals, but with presales live and summer tour buzz, traders see negligible risk of slippage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Объем
$11,932Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 18, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Olivia Rodrigo's official announcement of her third studio album, *You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love*, set for June 12 release via Geffen Records, has driven the near-certain 98.3% market-implied probability for a drop by August 31, reflecting trader consensus on her consistent release cadence—*Sour* in 2021, *GUTS* in 2023—and promotional rollout including cover art reveals and pre-save links just yesterday. This follows months of teasers, from cryptic Instagram posts in January to "sad love songs" hints in British Vogue last month, building unshakeable momentum. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim, such as unforeseen production delays or personal withdrawals, but with presales live and summer tour buzz, traders see negligible risk of slippage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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