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Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?

Market icon

Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?

98% вероятность
Polymarket

$11,090 Объем

98% вероятность
Polymarket

$11,090 Объем

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. Olivia Rodrigo's official announcement yesterday of her third studio album, *you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love*, set for June 12 via Geffen Records has locked in trader consensus at 98.1% for a pre-August 31 release, with preorders already live and signed editions selling out in under an hour. This follows months of teases—including March interviews hinting at "sad love songs" and a busy 2026—building on the massive success of *GUTS* and its deluxe *spilled* edition, which fueled sustained streaming dominance. The preorder availability and producer Daniel Nigro's involvement signal firm momentum, though rare upset scenarios like unforeseen production delays or label shifts could theoretically intervene before summer rollout.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Объем
$11,090
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 18, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. Olivia Rodrigo's official announcement yesterday of her third studio album, *you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love*, set for June 12 via Geffen Records has locked in trader consensus at 98.1% for a pre-August 31 release, with preorders already live and signed editions selling out in under an hour. This follows months of teases—including March interviews hinting at "sad love songs" and a busy 2026—building on the massive success of *GUTS* and its deluxe *spilled* edition, which fueled sustained streaming dominance. The preorder availability and producer Daniel Nigro's involvement signal firm momentum, though rare upset scenarios like unforeseen production delays or label shifts could theoretically intervene before summer rollout.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Объем
$11,090
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 18, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 98% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 98¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 98%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $11.1K с момента запуска рынка Mar 18, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?» составляет 98% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 98%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.