Market icon

Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes?

Market icon

Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes?

The first round of France's 2022 presidential election was held on April 10, 2022. As an absolute majority was not won by any candidate, a run-off will be held between the top two candidates: incumbent president Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen on April 24, 2022.  If Emmanuel Macron wins round two of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of valid cast votes, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election is not held by January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The percentage of votes awarded to Macron will be decided by dividing the number of votes Macron receives by the sum of votes that Macron receives and votes that Le Pen receives, and multiplying by 100. I.e. Percentage = (#Macron / [#Macron + #Le Pen]) * 100. The figures for the number of votes each candidate received will be derived from the table expressing data from the 2nd round election on the official election results page hosted by the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/presidentielle-2022/FE.html). Specifically, the number of votes each candidate receives will be derived from the number in the “Voix” column next to each respective candidate’s name.

The first round of France's 2022 presidential election was held on April 10, 2022. As an absolute majority was not won by any candidate, a run-off will be held between the top two candidates: incumbent president Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen on April 24, 2022. 

If Emmanuel Macron wins round two of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of valid cast votes, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election is not held by January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The percentage of votes awarded to Macron will be decided by dividing the number of votes Macron receives by the sum of votes that Macron receives and votes that Le Pen receives, and multiplying by 100. I.e. Percentage = (#Macron / [#Macron + #Le Pen]) * 100.

The figures for the number of votes each candidate received will be derived from the table expressing data from the 2nd round election on the official election results page hosted by the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/presidentielle-2022/FE.html). Specifically, the number of votes each candidate receives will be derived from the number in the “Voix” column next to each respective candidate’s name.
Объем
$20,174
Дата окончания
24 апр. 2022 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 12, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
The first round of France's 2022 presidential election was held on April 10, 2022. As an absolute majority was not won by any candidate, a run-off will be held between the top two candidates: incumbent president Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen on April 24, 2022.  If Emmanuel Macron wins round two of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of valid cast votes, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election is not held by January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The percentage of votes awarded to Macron will be decided by dividing the number of votes Macron receives by the sum of votes that Macron receives and votes that Le Pen receives, and multiplying by 100. I.e. Percentage = (#Macron / [#Macron + #Le Pen]) * 100. The figures for the number of votes each candidate received will be derived from the table expressing data from the 2nd round election on the official election results page hosted by the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/presidentielle-2022/FE.html). Specifically, the number of votes each candidate receives will be derived from the number in the “Voix” column next to each respective candidate’s name.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

The first round of France's 2022 presidential election was held on April 10, 2022. As an absolute majority was not won by any candidate, a run-off will be held between the top two candidates: incumbent president Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen on April 24, 2022.  If Emmanuel Macron wins round two of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of valid cast votes, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election is not held by January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The percentage of votes awarded to Macron will be decided by dividing the number of votes Macron receives by the sum of votes that Macron receives and votes that Le Pen receives, and multiplying by 100. I.e. Percentage = (#Macron / [#Macron + #Le Pen]) * 100. The figures for the number of votes each candidate received will be derived from the table expressing data from the 2nd round election on the official election results page hosted by the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/presidentielle-2022/FE.html). Specifically, the number of votes each candidate receives will be derived from the number in the “Voix” column next to each respective candidate’s name.

The first round of France's 2022 presidential election was held on April 10, 2022. As an absolute majority was not won by any candidate, a run-off will be held between the top two candidates: incumbent president Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen on April 24, 2022. 

If Emmanuel Macron wins round two of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of valid cast votes, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election is not held by January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The percentage of votes awarded to Macron will be decided by dividing the number of votes Macron receives by the sum of votes that Macron receives and votes that Le Pen receives, and multiplying by 100. I.e. Percentage = (#Macron / [#Macron + #Le Pen]) * 100.

The figures for the number of votes each candidate received will be derived from the table expressing data from the 2nd round election on the official election results page hosted by the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/presidentielle-2022/FE.html). Specifically, the number of votes each candidate receives will be derived from the number in the “Voix” column next to each respective candidate’s name.
Объем
$20,174
Дата окончания
24 апр. 2022 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 12, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
The first round of France's 2022 presidential election was held on April 10, 2022. As an absolute majority was not won by any candidate, a run-off will be held between the top two candidates: incumbent president Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen on April 24, 2022.  If Emmanuel Macron wins round two of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of valid cast votes, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election is not held by January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The percentage of votes awarded to Macron will be decided by dividing the number of votes Macron receives by the sum of votes that Macron receives and votes that Le Pen receives, and multiplying by 100. I.e. Percentage = (#Macron / [#Macron + #Le Pen]) * 100. The figures for the number of votes each candidate received will be derived from the table expressing data from the 2nd round election on the official election results page hosted by the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/presidentielle-2022/FE.html). Specifically, the number of votes each candidate receives will be derived from the number in the “Voix” column next to each respective candidate’s name.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $20.2K с момента запуска рынка Apr 13, 2022. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.