Trader consensus tilts slightly toward "No" at 54% implied probability for Lana Del Rey releasing a new album by June 30, driven by her track record of repeated delays on the long-teased country-flavored project now titled Stove—originally announced in 2024 as Lasso and pushed multiple times to 2026. The market's close contest reflects fresh momentum from her February 17 single "White Feather Hawk Tail Deer Hunter" and her Instagram hint of an album drop "in approximately 3 months," pointing to a potential May premiere, yet lacking an official date, tracklist, or preorder signals. Upcoming catalysts include a formal release announcement, additional singles, or promo rollout, which could surge Yes odds if locked pre-June 30, while further postponement whispers would solidify No.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЛана Дель Рей выпустит новый альбом к 30 июня?
Лана Дель Рей выпустит новый альбом к 30 июня?
Да
Да
Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus tilts slightly toward "No" at 54% implied probability for Lana Del Rey releasing a new album by June 30, driven by her track record of repeated delays on the long-teased country-flavored project now titled Stove—originally announced in 2024 as Lasso and pushed multiple times to 2026. The market's close contest reflects fresh momentum from her February 17 single "White Feather Hawk Tail Deer Hunter" and her Instagram hint of an album drop "in approximately 3 months," pointing to a potential May premiere, yet lacking an official date, tracklist, or preorder signals. Upcoming catalysts include a formal release announcement, additional singles, or promo rollout, which could surge Yes odds if locked pre-June 30, while further postponement whispers would solidify No.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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