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Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43% or higher on September 29?

Market icon

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43% or higher on September 29?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 43.0% for the day of September 29, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution data for September 29 will be checked on September 30, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check.

If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for September 29 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on September 30, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to September 29.

If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to September 29.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$10,039
Дата окончания
Sep 30, 2022
Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 43.0% for the day of September 29, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for September 29 will be checked on September 30, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for September 29 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on September 30, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to September 29. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to September 29. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 43.0% for the day of September 29, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution data for September 29 will be checked on September 30, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check.

If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for September 29 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on September 30, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to September 29.

If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to September 29.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$10,039
Дата окончания
Sep 30, 2022
Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 43.0% for the day of September 29, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for September 29 will be checked on September 30, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for September 29 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on September 30, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to September 29. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to September 29. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43% or higher on September 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43% or higher on September 29?" has generated $10K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 23, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43% or higher on September 29?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43% or higher on September 29?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43% or higher on September 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.