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Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 37.0% or higher on July 28?

Market icon

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 37.0% or higher on July 28?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 37.0% for the day of July 28, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for July 28 will be checked on July 29, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for July 28 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on July 29, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to July 28. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to July 28. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 37.0% for the day of July 28, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution data for July 28 will be checked on July 29, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check.

If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for July 28 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on July 29, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to July 28.

If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to July 28.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$5,397
Дата окончания
28 июл. 2022 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2022, 8:00 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 37.0% for the day of July 28, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for July 28 will be checked on July 29, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for July 28 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on July 29, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to July 28. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to July 28. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 37.0% for the day of July 28, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for July 28 will be checked on July 29, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for July 28 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on July 29, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to July 28. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to July 28. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 37.0% for the day of July 28, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution data for July 28 will be checked on July 29, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check.

If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for July 28 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on July 29, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to July 28.

If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to July 28.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$5,397
Дата окончания
28 июл. 2022 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2022, 8:00 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 37.0% for the day of July 28, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for July 28 will be checked on July 29, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for July 28 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on July 29, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to July 28. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to July 28. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 37.0% or higher on July 28?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 37.0% or higher on July 28?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 21, 2022. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 37.0% or higher on July 28?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 37.0% or higher on July 28?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 37.0% or higher on July 28?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.