The 94% market-implied probability against Jerome Powell joining an AI company this year stems primarily from his deep roots in central banking and regulatory policy rather than technology development or product strategy. As Federal Reserve Chair through mid-2026, Powell's expertise centers on monetary policy and financial stability, with no public indications of interest in large language model deployment, competitive AI positioning, or corporate roles at labs like OpenAI or Google. Trader consensus views such a move as a sharp departure from precedent for former Fed leaders, who typically pursue advisory work or academia. While an unexpected post-term offer or leadership shift could alter outcomes, the absence of credible signals keeps the strong "no" odds firmly in place.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПрисоединится ли Джером Пауэлл к ИИ-компании в 2026 году?
Присоединится ли Джером Пауэлл к ИИ-компании в 2026 году?
Да
6% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
6% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 94% market-implied probability against Jerome Powell joining an AI company this year stems primarily from his deep roots in central banking and regulatory policy rather than technology development or product strategy. As Federal Reserve Chair through mid-2026, Powell's expertise centers on monetary policy and financial stability, with no public indications of interest in large language model deployment, competitive AI positioning, or corporate roles at labs like OpenAI or Google. Trader consensus views such a move as a sharp departure from precedent for former Fed leaders, who typically pursue advisory work or academia. While an unexpected post-term offer or leadership shift could alter outcomes, the absence of credible signals keeps the strong "no" odds firmly in place.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Объем
$434Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 94% market-implied probability against Jerome Powell joining an AI company this year stems primarily from his deep roots in central banking and regulatory policy rather than technology development or product strategy. As Federal Reserve Chair through mid-2026, Powell's expertise centers on monetary policy and financial stability, with no public indications of interest in large language model deployment, competitive AI positioning, or corporate roles at labs like OpenAI or Google. Trader consensus views such a move as a sharp departure from precedent for former Fed leaders, who typically pursue advisory work or academia. While an unexpected post-term offer or leadership shift could alter outcomes, the absence of credible signals keeps the strong "no" odds firmly in place.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$434Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 94% market-implied probability against Jerome Powell joining an AI company this year stems primarily from his deep roots in central banking and regulatory policy rather than technology development or product strategy. As Federal Reserve Chair through mid-2026, Powell's expertise centers on monetary policy and financial stability, with no public indications of interest in large language model deployment, competitive AI positioning, or corporate roles at labs like OpenAI or Google. Trader consensus views such a move as a sharp departure from precedent for former Fed leaders, who typically pursue advisory work or academia. While an unexpected post-term offer or leadership shift could alter outcomes, the absence of credible signals keeps the strong "no" odds firmly in place.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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