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Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по фонду заработной платы в этом году?

Market icon

Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по фонду заработной платы в этом году?

Да

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$60,086 Объем

Да

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$60,086 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following: - The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule. - The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date. - The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended. - Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report. The following do NOT qualify as cessation: - Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns). - Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication. - Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases. - Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes). - Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming. - Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues. - Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data. - BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it. - BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI. - BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly. - The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own. - BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels. - BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following:

- The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule.
- The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date.
- The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended.
- Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report.

The following do NOT qualify as cessation:
- Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns).
- Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication.
- Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases.
- Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes).
- Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming.
- Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues.
- Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data.
- BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it.
- BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI.
- BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly.
- The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own.
- BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels.
- BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$60,086
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2025, 4:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following: - The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule. - The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date. - The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended. - Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report. The following do NOT qualify as cessation: - Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns). - Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication. - Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases. - Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes). - Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming. - Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues. - Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data. - BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it. - BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI. - BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly. - The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own. - BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels. - BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following: - The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule. - The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date. - The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended. - Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report. The following do NOT qualify as cessation: - Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns). - Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication. - Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases. - Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes). - Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming. - Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues. - Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data. - BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it. - BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI. - BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly. - The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own. - BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels. - BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following:

- The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule.
- The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date.
- The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended.
- Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report.

The following do NOT qualify as cessation:
- Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns).
- Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication.
- Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases.
- Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes).
- Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming.
- Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues.
- Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data.
- BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it.
- BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI.
- BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly.
- The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own.
- BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels.
- BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$60,086
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2025, 4:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following: - The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule. - The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date. - The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended. - Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report. The following do NOT qualify as cessation: - Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns). - Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication. - Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases. - Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes). - Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming. - Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues. - Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data. - BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it. - BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI. - BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly. - The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own. - BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels. - BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по фонду заработной платы в этом году?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по занятости в этом году?» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 0¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 0%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по фонду заработной платы в этом году?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $60.1K с момента запуска рынка Aug 12, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по фонду заработной платы в этом году?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по фонду заработной платы в этом году?» — «Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по занятости в этом году?» всего с 0%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по фонду заработной платы в этом году?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.