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Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по фонду заработной платы в этом году?

Market icon

Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по фонду заработной платы в этом году?

Да

<1% chance
Polymarket

$60,086 Объем

Да

<1% chance
Polymarket

$60,086 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following:

- The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule.
- The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date.
- The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended.
- Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report.

The following do NOT qualify as cessation:
- Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns).
- Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication.
- Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases.
- Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes).
- Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming.
- Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues.
- Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data.
- BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it.
- BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI.
- BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly.
- The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own.
- BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels.
- BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$60,086
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2025, 4:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following: - The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule. - The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date. - The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended. - Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report. The following do NOT qualify as cessation: - Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns). - Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication. - Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases. - Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes). - Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming. - Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues. - Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data. - BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it. - BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI. - BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly. - The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own. - BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels. - BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following:

- The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule.
- The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date.
- The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended.
- Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report.

The following do NOT qualify as cessation:
- Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns).
- Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication.
- Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases.
- Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes).
- Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming.
- Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues.
- Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data.
- BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it.
- BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI.
- BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly.
- The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own.
- BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels.
- BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$60,086
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2025, 4:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following: - The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule. - The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date. - The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended. - Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report. The following do NOT qualify as cessation: - Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns). - Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication. - Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases. - Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes). - Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming. - Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues. - Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data. - BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it. - BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI. - BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly. - The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own. - BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels. - BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по фонду заработной платы в этом году?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по занятости в этом году?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по фонду заработной платы в этом году?" has generated $60.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по фонду заработной платы в этом году?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по фонду заработной платы в этом году?" is "Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по занятости в этом году?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Прекратит ли BLS публиковать данные по фонду заработной платы в этом году?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.