Market icon
Криптовалюта·Биткойн

Активирует ли Биткоин OP_CTV или OP_CAT в 2025 году?

Market icon
Криптовалюта·Биткойн

Активирует ли Биткоин OP_CTV или OP_CAT в 2025 году?

Ни то, ни другое 100.0%

Только OP_CTV <1%

Только OP_CAT <1%

Оба <1%

Polymarket

$492,733 Объем

Ни то, ни другое 100.0%

Только OP_CTV <1%

Только OP_CAT <1%

Оба <1%

Polymarket

$492,733 Объем

Только OP_CTV

$155,712 Объем

Нет

Только OP_CAT

$102,352 Объем

Нет

Оба

$34,836 Объем

Нет

Ни то, ни другое

$199,834 Объем

Да

Two major proposals to upgrade the Bitcoin network are currently under consideration, OP_CTV (BIP 119) and OP_CAT (BIP 347). This market will resolve according to whichever of the following options happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If one upgrade is activated, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" until the resolution time has passed, and the other upgrade has not been activated. This market may not be resolved to "Neither" until the resolution time has passed and neither upgrade has been activated. If both upgrades are activated at any point, this market may resolve to "Both" immediately. This market resolves based on whether Bitcoin activates OP_CTV, OP_CAT, or both by 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025. “Activated” means the opcode is live and enforced on mainnet as part of Bitcoin’s consensus rules. Only the chain recognized as Bitcoin by the economic majority counts, based on hashpower, BTC ticker retention, and adoption by major exchanges, wallets, and infrastructure. Soft forks count toward this market's resolution. Hard forks only count if the fork becomes the dominant BTC chain (e.g., not a minority fork like Bitcoin Cash). Testnet, signet, or forks with minority support do not count. The resolution source for this market will be public sources such as Bitcoin Core, dev mailing lists, and major ecosystem infrastructure.Two major proposals to upgrade the Bitcoin network are currently under consideration, OP_CTV (BIP 119) and OP_CAT (BIP 347). This market will resolve according to whichever of the following options happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If one upgrade is activated, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" until the resolution time has passed, and the other upgrade has not been activated. This market may not be resolved to "Neither" until the resolution time has passed and neither upgrade has been activated. If both upgrades are activated at any point, this market may resolve to "Both" immediately. This market resolves based on whether Bitcoin activates OP_CTV, OP_CAT, or both by 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025. “Activated” means the opcode is live and enforced on mainnet as part of Bitcoin’s consensus rules. Only the chain recognized as Bitcoin by the economic majority counts, based on hashpower, BTC ticker retention, and adoption by major exchanges, wallets, and infrastructure. Soft forks count toward this market's resolution. Hard forks only count if the fork becomes the dominant BTC chain (e.g., not a minority fork like Bitcoin Cash). Testnet, signet, or forks with minority support do not count. The resolution source for this market will be public sources such as Bitcoin Core, dev mailing lists, and major ecosystem infrastructure.Two major proposals to upgrade the Bitcoin network are currently under consideration, OP_CTV (BIP 119) and OP_CAT (BIP 347). This market will resolve according to whichever of the following options happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If one upgrade is activated, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" until the resolution time has passed, and the other upgrade has not been activated. This market may not be resolved to "Neither" until the resolution time has passed and neither upgrade has been activated. If both upgrades are activated at any point, this market may resolve to "Both" immediately. This market resolves based on whether Bitcoin activates OP_CTV, OP_CAT, or both by 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025. “Activated” means the opcode is live and enforced on mainnet as part of Bitcoin’s consensus rules. Only the chain recognized as Bitcoin by the economic majority counts, based on hashpower, BTC ticker retention, and adoption by major exchanges, wallets, and infrastructure. Soft forks count toward this market's resolution. Hard forks only count if the fork becomes the dominant BTC chain (e.g., not a minority fork like Bitcoin Cash). Testnet, signet, or forks with minority support do not count. The resolution source for this market will be public sources such as Bitcoin Core, dev mailing lists, and major ecosystem infrastructure.Two major proposals to upgrade the Bitcoin network are currently under consideration, OP_CTV (BIP 119) and OP_CAT (BIP 347). This market will resolve according to whichever of the following options happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If one upgrade is activated, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" until the resolution time has passed, and the other upgrade has not been activated. This market may not be resolved to "Neither" until the resolution time has passed and neither upgrade has been activated. If both upgrades are activated at any point, this market may resolve to "Both" immediately. This market resolves based on whether Bitcoin activates OP_CTV, OP_CAT, or both by 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025. “Activated” means the opcode is live and enforced on mainnet as part of Bitcoin’s consensus rules. Only the chain recognized as Bitcoin by the economic majority counts, based on hashpower, BTC ticker retention, and adoption by major exchanges, wallets, and infrastructure. Soft forks count toward this market's resolution. Hard forks only count if the fork becomes the dominant BTC chain (e.g., not a minority fork like Bitcoin Cash). Testnet, signet, or forks with minority support do not count. The resolution source for this market will be public sources such as Bitcoin Core, dev mailing lists, and major ecosystem infrastructure.

Two major proposals to upgrade the Bitcoin network are currently under consideration, OP_CTV (BIP 119) and OP_CAT (BIP 347).

This market will resolve according to whichever of the following options happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

If one upgrade is activated, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" until the resolution time has passed, and the other upgrade has not been activated. This market may not be resolved to "Neither" until the resolution time has passed and neither upgrade has been activated.

If both upgrades are activated at any point, this market may resolve to "Both" immediately.

This market resolves based on whether Bitcoin activates OP_CTV, OP_CAT, or both by 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025.

“Activated” means the opcode is live and enforced on mainnet as part of Bitcoin’s consensus rules.

Only the chain recognized as Bitcoin by the economic majority counts, based on hashpower, BTC ticker retention, and adoption by major exchanges, wallets, and infrastructure.

Soft forks count toward this market's resolution. Hard forks only count if the fork becomes the dominant BTC chain (e.g., not a minority fork like Bitcoin Cash).

Testnet, signet, or forks with minority support do not count.

The resolution source for this market will be public sources such as Bitcoin Core, dev mailing lists, and major ecosystem infrastructure.
Объем
$492,733
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
Apr 11, 2025, 6:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Two major proposals to upgrade the Bitcoin network are currently under consideration, OP_CTV (BIP 119) and OP_CAT (BIP 347). This market will resolve according to whichever of the following options happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If one upgrade is activated, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" until the resolution time has passed, and the other upgrade has not been activated. This market may not be resolved to "Neither" until the resolution time has passed and neither upgrade has been activated. If both upgrades are activated at any point, this market may resolve to "Both" immediately. This market resolves based on whether Bitcoin activates OP_CTV, OP_CAT, or both by 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025. “Activated” means the opcode is live and enforced on mainnet as part of Bitcoin’s consensus rules. Only the chain recognized as Bitcoin by the economic majority counts, based on hashpower, BTC ticker retention, and adoption by major exchanges, wallets, and infrastructure. Soft forks count toward this market's resolution. Hard forks only count if the fork becomes the dominant BTC chain (e.g., not a minority fork like Bitcoin Cash). Testnet, signet, or forks with minority support do not count. The resolution source for this market will be public sources such as Bitcoin Core, dev mailing lists, and major ecosystem infrastructure.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Two major proposals to upgrade the Bitcoin network are currently under consideration, OP_CTV (BIP 119) and OP_CAT (BIP 347). This market will resolve according to whichever of the following options happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If one upgrade is activated, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" until the resolution time has passed, and the other upgrade has not been activated. This market may not be resolved to "Neither" until the resolution time has passed and neither upgrade has been activated. If both upgrades are activated at any point, this market may resolve to "Both" immediately. This market resolves based on whether Bitcoin activates OP_CTV, OP_CAT, or both by 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025. “Activated” means the opcode is live and enforced on mainnet as part of Bitcoin’s consensus rules. Only the chain recognized as Bitcoin by the economic majority counts, based on hashpower, BTC ticker retention, and adoption by major exchanges, wallets, and infrastructure. Soft forks count toward this market's resolution. Hard forks only count if the fork becomes the dominant BTC chain (e.g., not a minority fork like Bitcoin Cash). Testnet, signet, or forks with minority support do not count. The resolution source for this market will be public sources such as Bitcoin Core, dev mailing lists, and major ecosystem infrastructure.Two major proposals to upgrade the Bitcoin network are currently under consideration, OP_CTV (BIP 119) and OP_CAT (BIP 347). This market will resolve according to whichever of the following options happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If one upgrade is activated, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" until the resolution time has passed, and the other upgrade has not been activated. This market may not be resolved to "Neither" until the resolution time has passed and neither upgrade has been activated. If both upgrades are activated at any point, this market may resolve to "Both" immediately. This market resolves based on whether Bitcoin activates OP_CTV, OP_CAT, or both by 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025. “Activated” means the opcode is live and enforced on mainnet as part of Bitcoin’s consensus rules. Only the chain recognized as Bitcoin by the economic majority counts, based on hashpower, BTC ticker retention, and adoption by major exchanges, wallets, and infrastructure. Soft forks count toward this market's resolution. Hard forks only count if the fork becomes the dominant BTC chain (e.g., not a minority fork like Bitcoin Cash). Testnet, signet, or forks with minority support do not count. The resolution source for this market will be public sources such as Bitcoin Core, dev mailing lists, and major ecosystem infrastructure.Two major proposals to upgrade the Bitcoin network are currently under consideration, OP_CTV (BIP 119) and OP_CAT (BIP 347). This market will resolve according to whichever of the following options happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If one upgrade is activated, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" until the resolution time has passed, and the other upgrade has not been activated. This market may not be resolved to "Neither" until the resolution time has passed and neither upgrade has been activated. If both upgrades are activated at any point, this market may resolve to "Both" immediately. This market resolves based on whether Bitcoin activates OP_CTV, OP_CAT, or both by 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025. “Activated” means the opcode is live and enforced on mainnet as part of Bitcoin’s consensus rules. Only the chain recognized as Bitcoin by the economic majority counts, based on hashpower, BTC ticker retention, and adoption by major exchanges, wallets, and infrastructure. Soft forks count toward this market's resolution. Hard forks only count if the fork becomes the dominant BTC chain (e.g., not a minority fork like Bitcoin Cash). Testnet, signet, or forks with minority support do not count. The resolution source for this market will be public sources such as Bitcoin Core, dev mailing lists, and major ecosystem infrastructure.Two major proposals to upgrade the Bitcoin network are currently under consideration, OP_CTV (BIP 119) and OP_CAT (BIP 347). This market will resolve according to whichever of the following options happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If one upgrade is activated, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" until the resolution time has passed, and the other upgrade has not been activated. This market may not be resolved to "Neither" until the resolution time has passed and neither upgrade has been activated. If both upgrades are activated at any point, this market may resolve to "Both" immediately. This market resolves based on whether Bitcoin activates OP_CTV, OP_CAT, or both by 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025. “Activated” means the opcode is live and enforced on mainnet as part of Bitcoin’s consensus rules. Only the chain recognized as Bitcoin by the economic majority counts, based on hashpower, BTC ticker retention, and adoption by major exchanges, wallets, and infrastructure. Soft forks count toward this market's resolution. Hard forks only count if the fork becomes the dominant BTC chain (e.g., not a minority fork like Bitcoin Cash). Testnet, signet, or forks with minority support do not count. The resolution source for this market will be public sources such as Bitcoin Core, dev mailing lists, and major ecosystem infrastructure.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Активирует ли Биткоин OP_CTV или OP_CAT в 2025 году?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ни то, ни другое» с 100%, за ним следует «Только OP_CTV» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Активирует ли Биткоин OP_CTV или OP_CAT в 2025 году?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $492.7K с момента запуска рынка Apr 11, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Активирует ли Биткоин OP_CTV или OP_CAT в 2025 году?», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Активирует ли Биткоин OP_CTV или OP_CAT в 2025 году?» — «Ни то, ни другое» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Только OP_CTV» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Активирует ли Биткоин OP_CTV или OP_CAT в 2025 году?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.