Trader consensus reflects the climatological reality that the Atlantic hurricane season officially begins June 1, with May formations exceptionally rare. As of late May 2026, no organized tropical disturbances exist in the main development region, and sea surface temperatures remain below the typical 26.5°C threshold needed for rapid intensification in most areas. Historical records show only a handful of May hurricanes since reliable tracking began, driven by persistent wind shear and dry mid-level air. With resolution imminent and no active systems under National Hurricane Center monitoring, the implied probability aligns with current observational data and model guidance showing negligible formation risk before the calendar turns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУраган сформируется к 31 мая?
Ураган сформируется к 31 мая?
Да
$54,936 Объем
$54,936 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
Да
$54,936 Объем
$54,936 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Trader consensus reflects the climatological reality that the Atlantic hurricane season officially begins June 1, with May formations exceptionally rare. As of late May 2026, no organized tropical disturbances exist in the main development region, and sea surface temperatures remain below the typical 26.5°C threshold needed for rapid intensification in most areas. Historical records show only a handful of May hurricanes since reliable tracking began, driven by persistent wind shear and dry mid-level air. With resolution imminent and no active systems under National Hurricane Center monitoring, the implied probability aligns with current observational data and model guidance showing negligible formation risk before the calendar turns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Открытие рынка: Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
Объем
$54,936Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Trader consensus reflects the climatological reality that the Atlantic hurricane season officially begins June 1, with May formations exceptionally rare. As of late May 2026, no organized tropical disturbances exist in the main development region, and sea surface temperatures remain below the typical 26.5°C threshold needed for rapid intensification in most areas. Historical records show only a handful of May hurricanes since reliable tracking began, driven by persistent wind shear and dry mid-level air. With resolution imminent and no active systems under National Hurricane Center monitoring, the implied probability aligns with current observational data and model guidance showing negligible formation risk before the calendar turns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Объем
$54,936Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects the climatological reality that the Atlantic hurricane season officially begins June 1, with May formations exceptionally rare. As of late May 2026, no organized tropical disturbances exist in the main development region, and sea surface temperatures remain below the typical 26.5°C threshold needed for rapid intensification in most areas. Historical records show only a handful of May hurricanes since reliable tracking began, driven by persistent wind shear and dry mid-level air. With resolution imminent and no active systems under National Hurricane Center monitoring, the implied probability aligns with current observational data and model guidance showing negligible formation risk before the calendar turns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы