Market icon

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Other/Multiple  99.9%

Paul Le Roux <1%

Gavin Wood <1%

Nick Szabo <1%

Polymarket

$44,341,926 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the HBO documentary" Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery" currently scheduled to air on October 8, identifies Nick Szabo as the primary creator of Bitcoin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin.

If Nick Szabo and another individual(s) are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "No".

If the documentary is not released by October 15, this market will resolve to "No".

Объем
$44,341,926
Дата окончания
Oct 8, 2024
Дата создания
Oct 3, 2024, 6:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the HBO documentary" Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery" currently scheduled to air on October 8, identifies Nick Szabo as the primary creator of Bitcoin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin. If Nick Szabo and another individual(s) are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "No". If the documentary is not released by October 15, this market will resolve to "No".

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Other/Multiple " at 100%, followed by "Paul Le Roux" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?" has generated $44.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 3, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?" is "Other/Multiple " at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Paul Le Roux" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Other/Multiple  99.9%

Paul Le Roux <1%

Gavin Wood <1%

Nick Szabo <1%

Polymarket

$44,341,926 Объем

Market icon

Paul Le Roux

$2,570,248 Объем

No

Market icon

Gavin Wood

$1,131,682 Объем

No

Market icon

Nick Szabo

$2,873,063 Объем

No

Market icon

Craig Wright

$2,409,731 Объем

No

Market icon

Len Sassaman

$4,617,165 Объем

No

Market icon

Hal Finney

$2,343,414 Объем

No

Market icon

Dorian Nakamoto

$1,702,882 Объем

No

Market icon

Wei Dai

$2,014,734 Объем

No

Market icon

Adam Back

$7,341,787 Объем

No

Market icon

Gavin Andresen

$1,308,173 Объем

No

Market icon

David Kleiman

$3,115,366 Объем

No

Market icon

Elon Musk

$3,068,927 Объем

No

Market icon

Jed McCaleb

$1,502,080 Объем

No

Market icon

Other/Multiple

$3,874,666 Объем

Yes

Market icon

Shinichi Mochizuki

$1,911,079 Объем

No

Market icon

Vili Lehdonvirta

$2,556,930 Объем

No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Other/Multiple " at 100%, followed by "Paul Le Roux" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?" has generated $44.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 3, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?" is "Other/Multiple " at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Paul Le Roux" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.