Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Merab Dvalishvili a leading 65% implied probability to become UFC champion in 2026, driven by his dominant pre-title run before Petr Yan's unanimous decision win in December 2025 at UFC 323, positioning him for a bantamweight rematch amid Yan's untested defenses. Ian Machado Garry (57%) and Alexandre Pantoja (56%) follow closely, with Pantoja eyeing flyweight redemption against new king Joshua Van after a shocking first-round TKO loss late last year. No undisputed titles have changed hands in Q1 2026, but UFC 327's vacant light heavyweight main event pits Jiří Procházka (50%) against Carlos Ulberg, while recent UFC 326 saw Charles Oliveira claim the BMF belt via decision over Max Holloway, boosting lightweight and featherweight contenders' momentum. Stacked schedules, injury recoveries, and stylistic matchups like wrestling edges for Dvalishvili and grappling for Garry fuel the crowded field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$18,019 Объем
Яир Родригес
93%
Мераб Двалишвили
50%
Йиржи Прохазка
49%
Камару Усман
49%
Чарльз Оливейра
48%
Макс Холлоуэй
48%
Белал Мухаммад
48%
Дрикус Дю Плесси
48%
Кори Сэндхэнген
47%
Сергей Павлович
47%
Алджамейн Стерлинг
45%
Александр Волков
45%
Насурдин Имавов
44%
Умар Нурмагомедов
16%
Арман Царукян
23%
Шавкат Рахмонов
11%
Шон О'Мэлли
22%
Диего Лопес
7%
Мане Капе
19%
Дейвисон Фигейреду
3%
Джек Делла Маддалена
2%
Пэдди Пимблетт
7%
Александре Пантожа
58%
Иан Мачадо Гарри
57%
Леон Эдвардс
34%
Шон Стрикленд
41%
Магомед Анкалаев
50%
Сирил Ган
-
$18,019 Объем
Яир Родригес
93%
Мераб Двалишвили
50%
Йиржи Прохазка
49%
Камару Усман
49%
Чарльз Оливейра
48%
Макс Холлоуэй
48%
Белал Мухаммад
48%
Дрикус Дю Плесси
48%
Кори Сэндхэнген
47%
Сергей Павлович
47%
Алджамейн Стерлинг
45%
Александр Волков
45%
Насурдин Имавов
44%
Умар Нурмагомедов
16%
Арман Царукян
23%
Шавкат Рахмонов
11%
Шон О'Мэлли
22%
Диего Лопес
7%
Мане Капе
19%
Дейвисон Фигейреду
3%
Джек Делла Маддалена
2%
Пэдди Пимблетт
7%
Александре Пантожа
58%
Иан Мачадо Гарри
57%
Леон Эдвардс
34%
Шон Стрикленд
41%
Магомед Анкалаев
50%
Сирил Ган
-
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Merab Dvalishvili a leading 65% implied probability to become UFC champion in 2026, driven by his dominant pre-title run before Petr Yan's unanimous decision win in December 2025 at UFC 323, positioning him for a bantamweight rematch amid Yan's untested defenses. Ian Machado Garry (57%) and Alexandre Pantoja (56%) follow closely, with Pantoja eyeing flyweight redemption against new king Joshua Van after a shocking first-round TKO loss late last year. No undisputed titles have changed hands in Q1 2026, but UFC 327's vacant light heavyweight main event pits Jiří Procházka (50%) against Carlos Ulberg, while recent UFC 326 saw Charles Oliveira claim the BMF belt via decision over Max Holloway, boosting lightweight and featherweight contenders' momentum. Stacked schedules, injury recoveries, and stylistic matchups like wrestling edges for Dvalishvili and grappling for Garry fuel the crowded field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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