US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$179,103 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
Дональд Трамп
Нет
Марко Рубио
Нет
Дж.Д. Вэнс
Нет
Джаред Кушнер
Нет
Steve Witkoff
No
Pete Hegseth
No
Abbas Araghchi
No
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
No
Mojtaba Khamenei
No
Masoud Pezeshkian
No
Маджид Тахт-Раванчи
Нет
Kazem Gharibabadi
No
Ahmad Vahidi
No
Esmail Qaani
No
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
No
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
No
Ишак Дар
Нет
Rafael Grossi
No
Ник Стюарт
Нет
$179,103 Объем
Дональд Трамп
$14,129 Объем
Нет
Марко Рубио
$8,092 Объем
Нет
Дж.Д. Вэнс
$25,409 Объем
Нет
Джаред Кушнер
$28,640 Объем
Нет
Steve Witkoff
$27,627 Объем
No
Pete Hegseth
$4,790 Объем
No
Abbas Araghchi
$9,968 Объем
No
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$13,930 Объем
No
Mojtaba Khamenei
$8,115 Объем
No
Masoud Pezeshkian
$8,722 Объем
No
Маджид Тахт-Раванчи
$4,182 Объем
Нет
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,972 Объем
No
Ahmad Vahidi
$9,727 Объем
No
Esmail Qaani
$4,541 Объем
No
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$2,304 Объем
No
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$569 Объем
No
Ишак Дар
$3,178 Объем
Нет
Rafael Grossi
$1,430 Объем
No
Ник Стюарт
$1,777 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Объем
$179,103Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$179,103Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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