The Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party holds a 34-33 majority in the Minnesota State Senate ahead of the November 2026 election, in which all 67 seats are contested. Republicans need a net gain of just one seat to flip control in this narrowly divided chamber. Recent October polling in the concurrent U.S. Senate race shows DFL candidate Peggy Flanagan leading Republican Michele Tafoya by margins of three to thirteen points across multiple surveys, contributing to trader consensus reflected in the 81.5% implied probability for Democratic retention. Competitive districts, particularly in Greater Minnesota, remain focal points for both parties' targeting and spending, though the state's overall partisan lean and top-of-ticket trends have supported DFL positioning in recent weeks.