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Какие партии потеряют места на досрочных выборах в Японии?

$55,661 Объем

Feb 8, 2026

Правила

General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party loses at least 1 seat in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of resolution, a party’s seat count will be compared to the number of seats that party held immediately prior to the dissolution of the House of Representatives for the 2026 Japanese snap election, which may differ from the number of seats won in the previous general election.

If the results of this election aren't known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
Объем
$55,661
Дата окончания
Feb 8, 2026
Дата создания
Jan 23, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party loses at least 1 seat in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of resolution, a party’s seat count will be compared to the number of seats that party held immediately prior to the dissolution of the House of Representatives for the 2026 Japanese snap election, which may differ from the number of seats won in the previous general election. If the results of this election aren't known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).

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Market icon

Какие партии потеряют места на досрочных выборах в Японии?

$55,661 Объем

Market icon

Reiwa

$2,919 Объем

86%

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JCP

$1,671 Объем

81%

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CPJ

$12,244 Объем

47%

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JIP

$906 Объем

42%

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DPFP

$1,692 Объем

53%

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LDP

$3,801 Объем

2%

Market icon

Sanseitō

$2,819 Объем

2%

Market icon

SDP

$14,878 Объем

1%

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Mirai

$14,732 Объем

<1%

О нас

Объем
$55,661
Дата окончания
Feb 8, 2026
Дата создания
Jan 23, 2026, 12:48 PM ET

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.