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icon for Кто из этих демократов первым объявит о выдвижении своей кандидатуры на пост президента?

Кто из этих демократов первым объявит о выдвижении своей кандидатуры на пост президента?

icon for Кто из этих демократов первым объявит о выдвижении своей кандидатуры на пост президента?

Кто из этих демократов первым объявит о выдвижении своей кандидатуры на пост президента?

Энди Бешир 29%

Гэвин Ньюсом 19.6%

Камала Харрис 13%

Пит Буттиджич 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Энди Бешир 29%

Гэвин Ньюсом 19.6%

Камала Харрис 13%

Пит Буттиджич 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Энди Бешир

$1,914 Объем

29%

Гэвин Ньюсом

$2,889 Объем

20%

Камала Харрис

$550 Объем

13%

Пит Буттиджич

$603 Объем

12%

Ро Кханна

$463 Объем

9%

Рам Эмануэл

$656 Объем

8%

Джош Шапиро

$306 Объем

4%

Джон Оссофф

$306 Объем

2%

Стивен А. Смит

$300 Объем

2%

Александрия Окасио-Кортес

$391 Объем

1%

Джон Стюарт

$364 Объем

1%

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No formal announcements for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination have occurred as of mid-August 2026, positioning "Other" as the leading outcome in trader consensus while candidates assess timing amid a revised primary calendar that elevates South Carolina. Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear holds the top spot among listed names due to his active surrogate role in 2026 midterms races, public comments on government reforms, and a June profile highlighting his positioning for a potential bid. California Gov. Gavin Newsom ranks next, reflecting continued groundwork and media attention despite some slippage in broader nomination polling. Kamala Harris and other figures trail as attention centers on early signals, with no major developments yet shifting the field decisively.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.

The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.

An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.

If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,743
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No formal announcements for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination have occurred as of mid-August 2026, positioning "Other" as the leading outcome in trader consensus while candidates assess timing amid a revised primary calendar that elevates South Carolina. Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear holds the top spot among listed names due to his active surrogate role in 2026 midterms races, public comments on government reforms, and a June profile highlighting his positioning for a potential bid. California Gov. Gavin Newsom ranks next, reflecting continued groundwork and media attention despite some slippage in broader nomination polling. Kamala Harris and other figures trail as attention centers on early signals, with no major developments yet shifting the field decisively.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.

The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.

An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.

If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,743
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Кто из этих демократов первым объявит о выдвижении своей кандидатуры на пост президента?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Энди Бешир» с 29%, за ним следует «Гэвин Ньюсом» с 20%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 29¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 29%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Кто из этих демократов первым объявит о выдвижении своей кандидатуры на пост президента?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 9, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Кто из этих демократов первым объявит о выдвижении своей кандидатуры на пост президента?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Кто из этих демократов первым объявит о выдвижении своей кандидатуры на пост президента?» — «Энди Бешир» с 29%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 29%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Гэвин Ньюсом» с 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кто из этих демократов первым объявит о выдвижении своей кандидатуры на пост президента?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.