Trader consensus heavily favors Islam Makhachev or no change at UFC pound-for-pound #1 in 2026 at 62% implied probability, reflecting his unchallenged dominance after capturing the welterweight title via unanimous decision over Jack Della Maddalena in November 2025 and prior lightweight defenses, with UFC CEO Dana White confirming no July return to allow extended rest. Ilia Topuria's 23.5% trails as the lightweight champion and current #2 P4P, bolstered by knockouts over Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira, but tempered by his Q1 2026 hiatus for personal issues before a high-risk June 14 headliner against Justin Gaethje at UFC White House. Khamzat Chimaev's 5.4% stems from his undefeated middleweight title run despite post-Ramadan inactivity and surgery recovery delaying his first defense, underscoring activity concerns amid the top trio's stylistic edges and title paths. Arman Tsarukyan's lightweight contention adds minor upside via recent wins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИслам/Никто в 2026 62%
Илия Топурия 24%
Хамзат Чимаев 5.4%
Александр Волкановски 1.3%
Илия Топурия
24%
Хамзат Чимаев
5%
Алекс Перейра
1%
Александр Волкановски
1%
Петр Ян
1%
Мераб Двалишвили
1%
Том Аспиналл
1%
Александре Пантоха
<1%
Макс Холлоуэй
1%
Дрикус Дю Плесси
<1%
Джошуа Ван
<1%
Магомед Анкалаев
<1%
Джек Делла Маддалена
<1%
Арман Царукян
1%
Ислам/Никто в 2026
62%
Ислам/Никто в 2026 62%
Илия Топурия 24%
Хамзат Чимаев 5.4%
Александр Волкановски 1.3%
Илия Топурия
24%
Хамзат Чимаев
5%
Алекс Перейра
1%
Александр Волкановски
1%
Петр Ян
1%
Мераб Двалишвили
1%
Том Аспиналл
1%
Александре Пантоха
<1%
Макс Холлоуэй
1%
Дрикус Дю Плесси
<1%
Джошуа Ван
<1%
Магомед Анкалаев
<1%
Джек Делла Маддалена
<1%
Арман Царукян
1%
Ислам/Никто в 2026
62%
If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Открытие рынка: Jan 5, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Islam Makhachev or no change at UFC pound-for-pound #1 in 2026 at 62% implied probability, reflecting his unchallenged dominance after capturing the welterweight title via unanimous decision over Jack Della Maddalena in November 2025 and prior lightweight defenses, with UFC CEO Dana White confirming no July return to allow extended rest. Ilia Topuria's 23.5% trails as the lightweight champion and current #2 P4P, bolstered by knockouts over Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira, but tempered by his Q1 2026 hiatus for personal issues before a high-risk June 14 headliner against Justin Gaethje at UFC White House. Khamzat Chimaev's 5.4% stems from his undefeated middleweight title run despite post-Ramadan inactivity and surgery recovery delaying his first defense, underscoring activity concerns amid the top trio's stylistic edges and title paths. Arman Tsarukyan's lightweight contention adds minor upside via recent wins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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