Europe commands a 69.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's unmatched depth—12 historical titles—and Spain's Euro 2024 victory over England, with powerhouses like France, Germany, and Portugal advancing deep to affirm continental superiority. South America trails at 21.5%, fueled by Argentina's repeat Copa America crown against Colombia and CONMEBOL qualifier leadership, alongside Brazil's pedigree despite recent stumbles. Africa's 4% reflects Morocco's lingering 2022 semifinal buzz but sparse breakthroughs; North America's 2.5% nods host-nation boosts for USA, Canada, Mexico amid CONCACAF expansion; Asia (2.1%) and Oceania (0.4%) lag without prior champions, even as 48-team format allocates more slots via ongoing confederation qualifiers. Trader consensus prioritizes proven hierarchies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКакой континент выиграет чемпионат мира по футболу 2026 года?
Какой континент выиграет чемпионат мира по футболу 2026 года?
Европа 70%
Южная Америка 22%
Африка 4.0%
Северная Америка 2.6%
$1,476,067 Объем
$1,476,067 Объем
Европа
70%
Южная Америка
22%
Африка
4%
Северная Америка
3%
Азия
2%
Океания
<1%
Европа 70%
Южная Америка 22%
Африка 4.0%
Северная Америка 2.6%
$1,476,067 Объем
$1,476,067 Объем
Европа
70%
Южная Америка
22%
Африка
4%
Северная Америка
3%
Азия
2%
Океания
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe commands a 69.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's unmatched depth—12 historical titles—and Spain's Euro 2024 victory over England, with powerhouses like France, Germany, and Portugal advancing deep to affirm continental superiority. South America trails at 21.5%, fueled by Argentina's repeat Copa America crown against Colombia and CONMEBOL qualifier leadership, alongside Brazil's pedigree despite recent stumbles. Africa's 4% reflects Morocco's lingering 2022 semifinal buzz but sparse breakthroughs; North America's 2.5% nods host-nation boosts for USA, Canada, Mexico amid CONCACAF expansion; Asia (2.1%) and Oceania (0.4%) lag without prior champions, even as 48-team format allocates more slots via ongoing confederation qualifiers. Trader consensus prioritizes proven hierarchies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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