Anthropic’s dominant 90.5% market-implied odds reflect Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants consistently posting the highest scores on recent LiveBench coding tasks, including strong results in code generation and agentic coding categories on the June 2026 release and follow-on snapshots. Traders appear to price in limited time for competitors to close the gap before the end-of-October evaluation window, given Anthropic’s recent model cadence and benchmark persistence in coding-specific metrics. OpenAI’s o3-mini and GPT-5.5/5.6 lines lead some overall LiveBench aggregates but trail in targeted coding subsets, while other labs show lower verified numbers. A new high-scoring release or fine-tune from OpenAI, Google, or an open-weight leader that demonstrably surpasses current Claude coding results on the next LiveBench refresh could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет лучшую модель ИИ на LiveBench (Coding) в конце октября?
Какая компания имеет лучшую модель ИИ на LiveBench (Coding) в конце октября?
Anthropic 91%
OpenAI 6.2%
SpaceXAI <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$21,280 Объем
$21,280 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Anthropic
91%
OpenAI
6%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Mistral
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 91%
OpenAI 6.2%
SpaceXAI <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$21,280 Объем
$21,280 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$9,291 Объем
91%
OpenAI
$3,089 Объем
6%
SpaceXAI
$1,081 Объем
1%
DeepSeek
$657 Объем
1%
Mistral
$553 Объем
<1%
Nvidia
$499 Объем
<1%
$546 Объем
<1%
MiniMax
$484 Объем
<1%
Meta
$398 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$355 Объем
<1%
Moonshot
$310 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$395 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$507 Объем
<1%
Xiaomi
$468 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$410 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$363 Объем
<1%
Thinky
$454 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$364 Объем
<1%
Tencent
$297 Объем
<1%
StepFun
$334 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$426 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic’s dominant 90.5% market-implied odds reflect Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants consistently posting the highest scores on recent LiveBench coding tasks, including strong results in code generation and agentic coding categories on the June 2026 release and follow-on snapshots. Traders appear to price in limited time for competitors to close the gap before the end-of-October evaluation window, given Anthropic’s recent model cadence and benchmark persistence in coding-specific metrics. OpenAI’s o3-mini and GPT-5.5/5.6 lines lead some overall LiveBench aggregates but trail in targeted coding subsets, while other labs show lower verified numbers. A new high-scoring release or fine-tune from OpenAI, Google, or an open-weight leader that demonstrably surpasses current Claude coding results on the next LiveBench refresh could still shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Объем
$21,280Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic’s dominant 90.5% market-implied odds reflect Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants consistently posting the highest scores on recent LiveBench coding tasks, including strong results in code generation and agentic coding categories on the June 2026 release and follow-on snapshots. Traders appear to price in limited time for competitors to close the gap before the end-of-October evaluation window, given Anthropic’s recent model cadence and benchmark persistence in coding-specific metrics. OpenAI’s o3-mini and GPT-5.5/5.6 lines lead some overall LiveBench aggregates but trail in targeted coding subsets, while other labs show lower verified numbers. A new high-scoring release or fine-tune from OpenAI, Google, or an open-weight leader that demonstrably surpasses current Claude coding results on the next LiveBench refresh could still shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Объем
$21,280Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s dominant 90.5% market-implied odds reflect Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants consistently posting the highest scores on recent LiveBench coding tasks, including strong results in code generation and agentic coding categories on the June 2026 release and follow-on snapshots. Traders appear to price in limited time for competitors to close the gap before the end-of-October evaluation window, given Anthropic’s recent model cadence and benchmark persistence in coding-specific metrics. OpenAI’s o3-mini and GPT-5.5/5.6 lines lead some overall LiveBench aggregates but trail in targeted coding subsets, while other labs show lower verified numbers. A new high-scoring release or fine-tune from OpenAI, Google, or an open-weight leader that demonstrably surpasses current Claude coding results on the next LiveBench refresh could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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