Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 86% implied probability to hold the #1 spot on the LMArena Chatbot Arena text leaderboard (Style Control On) by May 31, driven by Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking's recent debut atop the rankings around May 8, with multiple Claude variants dominating the top five via superior reasoning and agentic coding performance. Released April 16, this frontier large language model extended Anthropic's lead after Claude 4.6's earlier sweep, outpacing Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #4 (12.5% odds) and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 at #8 despite its April 23 launch. Key catalysts ahead include Google I/O on May 19 for potential Gemini upgrades, though Anthropic's momentum and crowd-sourced Elo stability suggest resilience absent major surprises.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhich company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Anthropic 86%
Google 13%
OpenAI 1.6%
Meta <1%
$385,378 Объем
$385,378 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
Anthropic
86%
13%
OpenAI
2%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 86%
Google 13%
OpenAI 1.6%
Meta <1%
$385,378 Объем
$385,378 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
Anthropic
$40,236 Объем
86%
$32,049 Объем
13%
OpenAI
$24,444 Объем
2%
Meta
$24,806 Объем
<1%
xAI
$22,978 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$24,537 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$35,402 Объем
<1%
DeepSeek
$20,612 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$33,758 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$15,754 Объем
<1%
Moonshot
$18,572 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$22,660 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$18,254 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$27,297 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$24,018 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 86% implied probability to hold the #1 spot on the LMArena Chatbot Arena text leaderboard (Style Control On) by May 31, driven by Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking's recent debut atop the rankings around May 8, with multiple Claude variants dominating the top five via superior reasoning and agentic coding performance. Released April 16, this frontier large language model extended Anthropic's lead after Claude 4.6's earlier sweep, outpacing Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #4 (12.5% odds) and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 at #8 despite its April 23 launch. Key catalysts ahead include Google I/O on May 19 for potential Gemini upgrades, though Anthropic's momentum and crowd-sourced Elo stability suggest resilience absent major surprises.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Объем
$385,378Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 86% implied probability to hold the #1 spot on the LMArena Chatbot Arena text leaderboard (Style Control On) by May 31, driven by Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking's recent debut atop the rankings around May 8, with multiple Claude variants dominating the top five via superior reasoning and agentic coding performance. Released April 16, this frontier large language model extended Anthropic's lead after Claude 4.6's earlier sweep, outpacing Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #4 (12.5% odds) and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 at #8 despite its April 23 launch. Key catalysts ahead include Google I/O on May 19 for potential Gemini upgrades, though Anthropic's momentum and crowd-sourced Elo stability suggest resilience absent major surprises.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$385,378Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 86% implied probability to hold the #1 spot on the LMArena Chatbot Arena text leaderboard (Style Control On) by May 31, driven by Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking's recent debut atop the rankings around May 8, with multiple Claude variants dominating the top five via superior reasoning and agentic coding performance. Released April 16, this frontier large language model extended Anthropic's lead after Claude 4.6's earlier sweep, outpacing Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #4 (12.5% odds) and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 at #8 despite its April 23 launch. Key catalysts ahead include Google I/O on May 19 for potential Gemini upgrades, though Anthropic's momentum and crowd-sourced Elo stability suggest resilience absent major surprises.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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